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Polymarket wallet 0xb8bd846698cc67b5ee032bfa4bfe39d07533879e · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Optimistic-Carbon
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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 115 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will J.D. Vance say "America" or "American" 20+ times during the March for Life?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford TerriersSettled - ready to redeem | Samford Bulldogs | 27 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 186 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.