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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TSMC | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Human Robot / Human Robotic | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grok | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon / Musk | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ray Traced / Ray Tracing | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Self-Driving 3+ times | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gemini / Perplexity 4+ times | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Happy New Year | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hyperscaler / Hyperscale | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lidar | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bubble | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taiwan | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quantum 5+ times | 0% | −54 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Palantir | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Otbivnyxa | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | brilryka | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | trapka | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | swanato | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,848 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | kinofilm | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | sapogovs | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | chihilak | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | tisot | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | skladiv | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | MnogoLet | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | NeoGoblin | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Wormill | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | wtori | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | ToastStas | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | octopis2 fills | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,001 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | kinofilm | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Otbivnyxa | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | swanato | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | Adorable-Yard | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | titan5 | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $2,844 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | onekey09 | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $100,823 | +$101 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | dube | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$22 +0.8% | 20 |
| 289d | iamgone | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$34 +2.6% | 20 |
| 290d | Wojack-lbs | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | −$142 −9.2% | — |
| 290d | Wojack-lbs | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$67 +4.1% | 20 |
| 291d |  CosmicCedar2 fills | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,962 | +$101 +2.0% | 20 |
| 291d |  EngineOfHondaCivic | Elon / Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $1,612 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  noreasapa | Grok | SellYes>99¢ | $2,329 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | yougotme | Ray Traced / Ray Tracing | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d |  thundr | Elon / Musk | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 291d |  BipBop | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | −$1,217 −100% | 20 |
| 291d | yougotme | Grok | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$18 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d | EngineOfHondaCivic | Elon / Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d | noreasapa | Grok | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,267 | +$46 +2.0% | 20 |
| 291d | yougotme | Elon / Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d | BipBop | Elon / Musk | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$274 +15% | 20 |
| 291d |  iGod24 | Human Robot / Human Robotic | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 20 |
| 291d | noreasapa | AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,901 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 291d | mrkinetiq | AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$31 +1.6% | 20 |
| 291d | 404s | AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$25 +2.2% | 20 |
| 291d | .FiveDollarFootlong | AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | +$58 +3.0% | 20 |
JaidenAnimations1,600 sharesJensen Huang is scheduled to participate in a event, "NVIDIA Live at CES 2026 with Founder and CEO Jensen Huang" on January 5, 2026, 4 PM ET (see https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/events/ces/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips or prerecorded videos are aired where Jensen Huang is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If this appearance is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not released by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times means the market gives it about 0%.