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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr. Speaker 30+ times | 100% | +76 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| World Cup | 100% | +26 pts | +40 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mr. Speaker 20+ times | 100% | +10 pts | +18 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thank 10+ times | 100% | +35 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ban | 0% | −42 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Europe | 0% | −26 pts | +5 pts | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Northern Ireland | 0% | −64 pts | −48 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Condolences | 100% | +63 pts | +65 pts | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +77 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Labour | 100% | +11 pts | +36 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Crime / Criminal | 0% | +13 pts | +9 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 100% | +42 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poverty | 100% | +63 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Social Media | 100% | +88 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Constituent / Constituency | 100% | +36 pts | +46 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 0% | −48 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Record Funding | 0% | −11 pts | −41 pts | — · 23¢ | — | ended |
| United States | 0% | −40 pts | −30 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| NHS 3+ times | 0% | −37 pts | −28 pts | — · 64¢ | — | ended |
| Waiting List | 100% | +64 pts | +55 pts | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Public | 100% | +22 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hate / Hatred | 100% | +70 pts | +68 pts | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Violent / Violence | 100% | +68 pts | +59 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shadow | 0% | −16 pts | −31 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Urgent | 0% | −23 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Record Investment | 100% | +75 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Defense | 100% | +25 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Victim | 0% | −20 pts | −30 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −28 pts | −19 pts | — · 60¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100d |  CosmicCedar | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,031 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mr. Speaker 30+ times means the market gives it about 100%.