| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 10,001 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $9,156 | +$705 +8.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 12,065 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $8,627 | +$437 +5.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 73d | No | 8,660 | 51¢ → 93¢ | $8,011 | +$3,619 +82% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 8,842 | 51¢ → 88¢ | $7,736 | +$3,256 +73% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 5,631 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5,454 | +$233 +4.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,106 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $4,930 | +$167 +3.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 5,054 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $4,783 | +$233 +5.1% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 5,666 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $4,629 | −$90 −1.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 6,840 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $4,241 | −$237 −5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 4,284 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $3,556 | +$343 +11% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 4,218 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $3,416 | +$474 +16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 3,404 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $3,339 | +$910 +37% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,479 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $3,009 | +$191 +6.8% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,809 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $2,717 | +$299 +12% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 2,913 | 40¢ → 92¢ | $2,666 | +$1,510 +131% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 3,592 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $2,407 | +$22 +0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 3,307 | 44¢ → 68¢ | $2,232 | +$771 +53% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 2,956 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $2,084 | +$151 +7.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 3d | No | 2,090 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $2,054 | +$122 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 9,307 | 48¢ → 21¢ | $1,969 | −$2,476 −56% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 3,822 | 41¢ → 49¢ | $1,858 | +$291 +19% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,964 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1,856 | +$206 +13% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,899 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,849 | +$69 +3.9% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,769 | 22¢ → 34¢ | $1,617 | +$552 +52% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | No | 1,732 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $1,480 | +$89 +6.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,841 | 62¢ → 76¢ | $1,401 | +$263 +23% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,596 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $1,365 | +$255 +23% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,468 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $1,357 | +$249 +22% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,726 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $1,320 | −$62 −4.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,837 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $1,286 | +$319 +33% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,321 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1,275 | +$158 +14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,758 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $1,275 | +$172 +16% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 1,272 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $1,199 | +$124 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 1,277 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $1,168 | +$121 +12% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | No | 1,195 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,123 | +$61 +5.7% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 5d | No | 1,222 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $1,008 | +$103 +11% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,559 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $1,006 | +$203 +25% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 801d | Yes | 3,403 | 17¢ → 30¢ | $1,004 | +$425 +73% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,015 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $999 | +$188 +23% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 5,984 | 35¢ → 16¢ | $928 | −$1,145 −55% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,513 | 48¢ → 61¢ | $916 | +$191 +26% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 982 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $908 | +$256 +39% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,258 | 21¢ → 72¢ | $901 | +$637 +241% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,107 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $891 | +$7 +0.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,093 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $880 | +$177 +25% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 932 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $870 | +$50 +6.1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 900 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $868 | +$27 +3.2% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | No | 1,364 | 55¢ → 60¢ | $820 | +$72 +9.7% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 435d | No | 768 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $721 | +$30 +4.4% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 756 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $719 | +$104 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 803 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $703 | +$21 +3.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4,241 | 2¢ → 16¢ | $689 | +$621 +907% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 874 | 4¢ → 77¢ | $674 | +$639 +1803% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | No | 685 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $660 | +$62 +10% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 906 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $657 | −$50 −7.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 835 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $647 | +$54 +9.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,112 | 67¢ → 57¢ | $634 | −$111 −15% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 689 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $631 | +$24 +4.0% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 435d | No | 955 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $616 | +$114 +23% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 759 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $588 | +$49 +9.2% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 178d | No | 679 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $578 | +$140 +32% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 6,740 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $576 | +$253 +78% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 2d | No | 1,482 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $570 | +$49 +9.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 809 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $566 | +$139 +33% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 575 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $554 | +$125 +29% |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Ends in 5d | No | 639 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $546 | +$44 +8.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 101d | Yes | 974 | 42¢ → 53¢ | $516 | +$109 +27% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 2,177 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $511 | +$80 +18% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 3,271 | 4¢ → 16¢ | $507 | +$390 +334% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 519 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $505 | +$48 +10% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 6,628 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $497 | −$406 −45% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 3,214 | 1¢ → 15¢ | $497 | +$449 +939% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 531 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $496 | +$66 +15% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 515 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $492 | +$28 +6.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 506 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $488 | +$68 +16% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 488 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $478 | +$43 +10.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5,149 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $476 | +$110 +30% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 521 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $472 | +$29 +6.5% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,532 | 24¢ → 31¢ | $467 | +$98 +26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 1,063 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $452 | +$27 +6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | Yes | 763 | 66¢ → 59¢ | $447 | −$59 −12% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 526 | 53¢ → 84¢ | $439 | +$161 +58% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 658 | 49¢ → 67¢ | $438 | +$115 +36% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 435d | No | 668 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $431 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 3d | No | 483 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $425 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 874 | 42¢ → 49¢ | $424 | +$56 +15% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?Ends ended | Yes | 516 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $423 | +$37 +9.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 690 | 65¢ → 60¢ | $414 | −$35 −7.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 651 | 80¢ → 64¢ | $413 | −$110 −21% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,603 | 53¢ → 16¢ | $403 | −$975 −71% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 178d | Yes | 866 | 46¢ → 46¢ | $401 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 537 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $395 | +$107 +37% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 12d | No | 398 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $395 | +$12 +3.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 1,047 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $393 | −$18 −4.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 3,070 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $388 | +$178 +85% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 2d | No | 453 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $385 | +$73 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 392 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $385 | +$29 +8.1% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 412 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $385 | +$43 +13% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 2,517 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $384 | −$57 −13% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 70d | No | 398 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $383 | +$28 +8.0% |
