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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 46% | — | −3 pts | 40¢ · 51¢ (11¢) | — | in 4d |
| Conflict / Middle East | 64% | −6 pts | −4 pts | 59¢ · 69¢ (10¢) | — | in 4d |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 31% | −8 pts | −12 pts | 24¢ · 37¢ (13¢) | $481 | in 4d |
| Payroll | 38% | +4 pts | +1 pts | 29¢ · 47¢ (18¢) | — | in 4d |
| -No Qualifying Event- | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 4d |
| Good Question | 85% | −9 pts | +3 pts | 75¢ · 94¢ (19¢) | — | in 4d |
| Price 30+ times | 72% | +6 pts | +9 pts | 59¢ · 85¢ (26¢) | — | in 4d |
| President / Trump | 70% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 60¢ · 80¢ (20¢) | — | in 4d |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 73% | −12 pts | +1 pts | 56¢ · 90¢ (34¢) | — | in 4d |
| Pandemic / Recession | 28% | −7 pts | −3 pts | 13¢ · 43¢ (30¢) | — | in 4d |
| Good Afternoon | 7% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 4d |
| CapEx / Capital Expenditure | 73% | −4 pts | +11 pts | 59¢ · 87¢ (28¢) | — | in 4d |
| Inflation 20+ times | 53% | +6 pts | +6 pts | 49¢ · 56¢ (7¢) | — | in 4d |
| Good Day | 94% | — | +1 pts | 93¢ · 95¢ (2¢) | — | in 4d |
| Unchanged / Dissent | 21% | — | −1 pts | 12¢ · 29¢ (17¢) | — | in 4d |
| Oversight | 29% | +5 pts | +5 pts | 20¢ · 38¢ (18¢) | — | in 4d |
| Pressure / Stagflation | 69% | −6 pts | −8 pts | 59¢ · 79¢ (20¢) | — | in 4d |
| Soft / Softening | 28% | +3 pts | −3 pts | 17¢ · 38¢ (21¢) | — | in 4d |
| Software | 16% | −4 pts | — | 10¢ · 22¢ (12¢) | — | in 4d |
| Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 11% | +3 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 18¢ (14¢) | — | in 4d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
BlondBeast99 sharesKevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times means the market gives it about 46%.