| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 2,000 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $1,890 | +$619 +49% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $984 | +$194 +24% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 12d | Yes | 894 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $608 | +$88 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $455 | +$100 +28% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $443 | +$88 +25% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 446 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $333 | +$83 +33% |
| Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Ends in 11d | No | 428 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $319 | +$15 +4.9% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 63¢ | $315 | −$35 −10% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | No | 403 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $295 | +$45 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 12d | No | 366 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $275 | +$40 +17% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 663 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $265 | +$12 +4.7% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Ends in 24d | Yes | 500 | 62¢ → 53¢ | $263 | −$48 −15% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 500 | 54¢ → 52¢ | $260 | −$10 −3.7% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?Ends in 11d | No | 622 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $255 | +$9 +3.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,000 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $250 | −$70 −22% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 17d | No | 846 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $249 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 12d | No | 423 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $247 | +$8 +3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 12d | No | 313 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $241 | +$38 +18% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 573 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $241 | −$34 −12% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 32d | No | 479 | 52¢ → 50¢ | $239 | −$11 −4.2% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Ends in 11d | No | 481 | 52¢ → 47¢ | $226 | −$24 −9.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Ends in 12d | No | 298 | 48¢ → 76¢ | $225 | +$82 +57% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 12d | No | 714 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $225 | −$25 −10% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 25d | No | 463 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $222 | −$28 −11% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 51¢ → 44¢ | $220 | −$35 −14% |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 12d | No | 691 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $214 | +$22 +11% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 8d | Yes | 375 | 67¢ → 55¢ | $206 | −$44 −18% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 12d | No | 674 | 37¢ → 30¢ | $202 | −$48 −19% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 1,078 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $199 | −$96 −32% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 12d | No | 666 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $196 | +$17 +9.2% |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 482 | 52¢ → 41¢ | $195 | −$55 −22% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 417 | 60¢ → 42¢ | $173 | −$77 −31% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?Ends in 12d | No | 210 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $164 | +$20 +14% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | No | 500 | 31¢ → 33¢ | $163 | +$8 +4.8% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 12d | No | 1,000 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $155 | +$45 +41% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 12d | No | 277 | 53¢ → 55¢ | $151 | +$3 +2.3% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 500 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $148 | −$18 −11% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 30¢ | $148 | −$208 −58% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 385 | 65¢ → 36¢ | $138 | −$112 −45% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2,521 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $132 | −$143 −52% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $128 | −$3 −1.9% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $127 | −$7 −5.6% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 180 | 16¢ → 69¢ | $124 | +$95 +331% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 500 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $115 | −$30 −21% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 300 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $105 | +$16 +18% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 370 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $93 | +$22 +32% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 29¢ → 58¢ | $87 | +$44 +100% |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?Ends in 5d | No | 158 | 53¢ → 54¢ | $85 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $80 | −$40 −33% |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?Ends in 11d | No | 121 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $78 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 135 | 55¢ → 57¢ | $77 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 6d | No | 162 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $71 | +$5 +7.3% |
| Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?Ends in 5d | Yes | 157 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $58 | −$13 −18% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 8d | Yes | 862 | 46¢ → 7¢ | $56 | −$341 −86% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 68 | 51¢ → 73¢ | $49 | +$15 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 500 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $48 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 71 | 14¢ → 65¢ | $46 | +$37 +380% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 500 | 39¢ → 8¢ | $42 | −$153 −79% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $30 | −$50 −63% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 144 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $26 | −$5 −16% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$36 −59% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 12d | No | 30 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $22 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 3d | Yes | 72 | 5¢ → 30¢ | $21 | +$18 +490% |
| Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | Yes | 220 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Ends in 14d | No | 190 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $21 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Cornell President out by October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $20 | −$10 −33% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.7% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 12d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $9 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 110 | 44¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$46 −94% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 166 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Andrew Yang join the America Party?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 358 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 306 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$86 −100% |
| Will Trump attend UFC 320?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$325 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$233 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 387 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 332 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 698 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 372 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
