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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing stunt | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Retiring this season | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Final season | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Trade/Trade request | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Returning to Cavaliers | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380d | Xaci | Retiring this season | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,462 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 380d | pantomime | Trade/Trade request | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 380d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Final season | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,584 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 380d | GondorCallsForAid | Final season | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,168 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 380d |  thevibeformerlyknownastrimtrimtrimsahur | Final season | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 380d |  MLBksRETARD | Final season | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 380d | GondorCallsForAid2 fills | Retiring this season | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,183 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 380d | KimsCrunchCut | Retiring this season | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 380d | Popeyesfriedchicken2 fills | Retiring this season | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,756 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 380d | Popeyesfriedchicken | Returning to Cavaliers | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 380d | 88888888888888888 | Final season | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 380d | Popeyesfriedchicken | Trade/Trade request | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,791 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 380d |  Dapsy | Retiring this season | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,241 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 380d | 0x53eCc53E7 | Returning to Cavaliers | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,548 | +$72 +0.3% | 4 |
| 380d | 0x53eCc53E7 | Retiring this season | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,727 | +$65 +1.4% | 4 |
| 381d | berkeleyverse | Final season | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$656 +44% | 4 |
| 381d |  numbersandletters | Returning to Cavaliers | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 381d | jaja5050 | Marketing stunt | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$705 +41% | 4 |
| 381d | momo513 | Returning to Cavaliers | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$13 +0.4% | 4 |
| 381d | CanadianGoose | Retiring this season | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$14 +1.2% | 4 |
| 381d | peepeepooppoop | Retiring this season | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$35 +1.3% | 4 |
| 381d |  Chims | Retiring this season | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$46 +2.6% | 4 |
| 381d |  SappySeal67 | Returning to Cavaliers | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 381d |  elmcap2 | Retiring this season | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$72 +3.1% | 5 |
Usia18041 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James retires from the NBA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Announcements that he retiring after the 2025-26 NBA season won't quality. The resolution source will be statements from Lebron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marketing stunt means the market gives it about 100%.