| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,380 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $6,753 | +$67 +1.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,071 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $4,184 | −$91 −2.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4,500 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $3,893 | +$23 +0.6% |
| Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $393 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 368 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $311 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 300 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$30 +12% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 287 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $268 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $252 | −$12 −4.5% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 300 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $252 | −$9 −3.4% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $198 | −$12 −6.0% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $196 | −$14 −6.5% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$23 +14% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$19 +11% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$25 +16% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$22 +14% |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$10 +6.0% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 81d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $176 | +$36 +26% |
| Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Ends in 240d | No | 190 | 47¢ → 93¢ | $176 | +$86 +97% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 300 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $176 | −$8 −4.1% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$8 +4.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $167 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $163 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $160 | +$16 +11% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $159 | −$5 −3.0% |
| Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 231 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $158 | +$17 +12% |
| Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $155 | −$15 −8.8% |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $153 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 75¢ | $150 | −$18 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $149 | −$17 −10% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $147 | −$13 −8.1% |
| Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?Ends in 86d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 74¢ | $147 | +$19 +15% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 150 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $146 | +$38 +36% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $146 | +$11 +8.1% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $144 | +$32 +29% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 173 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $143 | +$5 +3.8% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $141 | −$25 −15% |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 160 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $141 | +$16 +13% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 150 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$34 +33% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$23 +20% |
| Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 68¢ | $136 | −$26 −16% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 150 | 62¢ → 91¢ | $136 | +$43 +46% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $7.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $134 | +$20 +17% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 150 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $134 | +$21 +19% |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 12d | No | 139 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $132 | +$43 +48% |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $131 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 252 | 55¢ → 52¢ | $131 | −$7 −5.1% |
| Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 150 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $131 | +$24 +23% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $129 | +$16 +14% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $129 | −$31 −19% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $128 | +$10 +8.2% |
| Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 150 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $128 | +$32 +34% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 186 | 80¢ → 68¢ | $126 | −$22 −15% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $125 | +$10 +8.4% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 66¢ → 81¢ | $122 | +$23 +23% |
| JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 136 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $121 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 149 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $120 | +$18 +17% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 150 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $119 | +$8 +7.4% |
| Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 128 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $118 | +$34 +40% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 150 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $118 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $117 | +$6 +5.4% |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 148 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $117 | +$19 +20% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $116 | −$3 −2.3% |
| Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 150 | 61¢ → 77¢ | $116 | +$24 +26% |
| Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $116 | +$8 +6.9% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $113 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $113 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 189 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $112 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $112 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $109 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 128 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $109 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 53¢ | $106 | −$26 −20% |
| Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 26d | No | 130 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $105 | +$13 +14% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?Ends in 274d | No | 117 | 62¢ → 90¢ | $105 | +$32 +44% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $104 | −$5 −4.8% |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 254 | 60¢ → 41¢ | $104 | −$48 −32% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 150 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $103 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $101 | +$26 +35% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $101 | −$7 −6.3% |
| Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 150 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $101 | +$5 +5.5% |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Ends in 4d | Yes | 100 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$37 +60% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 160 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $98 | −$18 −16% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 150 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $98 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 150 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $98 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $98 | −$11 −10% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 150 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $97 | +$4 +4.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $97 | −$19 −16% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$6 +7.0% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 150 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $97 | −$23 −19% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 150 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $96 | −$9 −8.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $95 | −$14 −13% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 150 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $95 | −$4 −3.8% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 12d | Yes | 150 | 72¢ → 63¢ | $95 | −$14 −13% |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 15d | No | 150 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $94 | +$11 +14% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 63¢ | $94 | −$20 −18% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 150 | 74¢ → 63¢ | $94 | −$17 −16% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 160 | 61¢ → 58¢ | $93 | −$5 −4.9% |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 1d | No | 150 | 66¢ → 62¢ | $92 | −$7 −6.8% |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$8 +9.8% |
