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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | 100% | +57 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Muslim | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Climate change | 100% | +56 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Thank you 7+ times | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michelle | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hope | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Yes we can | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pelosi | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Democracy 3+ times | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Underdog | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | yik | Climate change | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 793d | bey | Black | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,946 | +$60 +1.5% | 20 |
| 793d |  Anon5215 | Hope | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,641 | +$381 +10% | 20 |
| 793d | polygoon | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 793d | kingfisher | Climate change | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,553 | −$2,553 −100% | 20 |
| 793d | professorx | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,037 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d |  TimeQuestion | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | Breezy-Entrance | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | Hhkcg | Joe Biden | SellYes>99¢ | $4,763 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 793d | JPVR | Thank you 7+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 793d | Iverson2 fills | Hope | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,610 | +$290 +8.0% | 20 |
| 793d | anon15655 fills | Muslim | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $15,450 | +$3,664 +24% | 20 |
| 793d | Qtyu | Donald Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,662 | +$319 +4.2% | 20 |
| 793d |  carp | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,553 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 793d | Anon5215 | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 20 |
| 793d |  Slimedart | Black | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$501 +22% | 20 |
| 793d | kingfisher2 fills | Hope | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,218 | +$980 +14% | 20 |
| 793d |  ImJustKen | Climate change | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $4,063 | −$4,063 −100% | 26 |
| 793d | FalC0N | Hope | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$195 +18% | 20 |
| 793d | mmmpieee | Hope | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$244 +18% | 20 |
| 793d | ferengi | Donald Trump | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$104 +4.5% | 20 |
| 793d |  hot-097 | Thank you 7+ times | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | −$348 −20% | — |
| 793d | seanc2k | Hope | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$281 +19% | 20 |
| 793d | seanc2k | Climate change | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$604 +44% | 20 |
| 793d | JPVR | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$293 +19% | 20 |
| 793d |  RewardsPeasant | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,733 | +$600 +22% | 20 |
| 793d |  GeneralDavidPatraeus.eth | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$389 +37% | 20 |
| 793d | wlkr1 | Underdog | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$118 +8.8% | 20 |
| 793d |  HaterzLoserz2 fills | Climate change | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,376 | +$1,247 +52% | 20 |
| 793d | wlkr1 | Climate change | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 21 |
| 793d | Hhkcg4 fills | Joe Biden | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,922 | +$61 +0.7% | 20 |
| 793d |  factman | Joe Biden | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,001 | +$60 +0.6% | 20 |
| 793d | HaterzLoserz7 fills | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $39,177 | +$22,862 +58% | 20 |
| 793d | HaterzLoserz3 fills | Michelle | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,658 | +$351 +7.5% | 20 |
| 793d | HaterzLoserz2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,965 | +$399 +5.0% | 20 |
| 793d | squirrel-farmer | Democracy 3+ times | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$298 +20% | 20 |
| 794d | nostradamus77 | Thank you 7+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$636 +42% | 20 |
| 794d | Bink_72 fills | Muslim | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,413 | −$3,413 −100% | 27 |
| 794d | anon1565 | Michelle | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | +$329 +11% | 20 |
| 794d | factman | Michelle | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,791 | +$221 +12% | 20 |
| 794d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Thank you 7+ times | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 21 |
| 794d | anon1565 | Democracy 3+ times | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$345 +23% | 20 |
| 794d | factman | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $4,435 | +$4,094 +92% | 20 |
| 794d | ootharju | Michelle | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$260 +12% | 20 |
| 794d | tomn | Climate change | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$560 +54% | 20 |
| 794d |  TheCoconut | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$2,120 +113% | 20 |
| 794d | lug | Pelosi | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$154 +11% | 20 |
| 794d | lug | Obamacare/Affordable Care Act | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 20 |
| 794d | L114 | Michelle | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$410 +16% | 20 |
| 794d |  Wloczega | Muslim | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$508 +34% | 28 |
| 794d | Bink_7 | Black | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$267 +25% | 25 |
| 794d | ImJustKen | Underdog | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$221 +16% | 24 |
| 794d | Munners | Joe Biden | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$105 +5.3% | 21 |
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Obamacare/Affordable Care Act means the market gives it about 100%.