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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 4750 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5350 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5600 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5200 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 5700 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 6800 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 6550 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 6350 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 6150 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 6000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 5900 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 5800 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  DiamondHands11 | ↓ 4750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | DiamondHands11 | ↓ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,150 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | DiamondHands11 | ↓ 5200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,051 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | DiamondHands11 | ↓ 5350 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,909 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | DiamondHands11 | ↓ 5500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,780 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d |  olegs | ↓ 5500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,545 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 207d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 5600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 207d | olegs | ↓ 5000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 209d | olegs | ↓ 4750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 209d | olegs | ↓ 5350 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 215d | Proud-Unit | ↓ 5500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,053 | +$31 +0.6% | 4 |
| 215d | Warlike-Grey | ↓ 5500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,032 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 215d | Showy-Initialize | ↓ 5500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,024 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 216d | Strange-Tusk | ↓ 5350 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,046 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 216d | Bitter-Cloudburst | ↓ 5350 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 216d | Strange-Tusk | ↓ 5350 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,046 | +$30 +0.6% | 4 |
| 223d | Rowdy-Notepad | ↓ 4750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,038 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 223d | Wide-Eyed-Potty | ↓ 4750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 223d | Austere-Ice | ↓ 4750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,016 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 227d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 5800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 227d | CoinTrick | ↑ 5900 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
bjprolo100 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 4750 means the market gives it about 0%.