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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE 3+ times | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Department of Education | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kickback | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans/Transgender | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 5+ times | 100% | +45 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| COVID | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paper Straw | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Billion 10+ times | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FEMA | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Woke | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DEI | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610d |  RememberAmalek | October 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,702 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | Paper Straw | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,640 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | Saudi Arabia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,708 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | Billion 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,605 | +$13 +0.4% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | Fentanyl | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | China 10+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,406 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek2 fills | AI/Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,253 | +$18 +0.6% | 20 |
| 610d | RememberAmalek | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,626 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 611d |  Tenable-Dome3 fills | Department of Education | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $37,330 | +$608 +1.6% | 20 |
| 611d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | Trans/Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,934 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 611d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a | COVID | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,458 | +$47 +0.3% | 20 |
| 611d | longtern | Department of Education | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,002 | +$42 +0.7% | 20 |
| 611d | pantomime2 fills | Kickback | BuyYes100¢ | $4,667 | +$23 +0.5% | 20 |
| 611d |  🍝👹3 fills | DOGE 3+ times | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $38,417 | −$1,432 −3.7% | — |
| 611d | Tenable-Dome | COVID | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,892 | +$185 +1.2% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹 | COVID | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,809 | +$131 +1.1% | 20 |
| 611d | Tenable-Dome | Trans/Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $100,729 | +$1,122 +1.1% | 20 |
| 611d |  pirateshere | Trans/Transgender | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,314 | +$65 +1.2% | 20 |
| 611d | longtern | COVID | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,937 | +$80 +1.0% | 20 |
| 611d | 69696969 | Department of Education | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹3 fills | Department of Education | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,665 | +$1,430 +15% | 20 |
| 611d | rpo | Department of Education | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,564 | +$67 +1.0% | 20 |
| 611d | Tenable-Dome | Kickback | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $97,999 | +$2,000 +2.0% | 20 |
| 611d |  syncope | Kickback | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,228 | +$198 +2.1% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹3 fills | Kickback | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,819 | +$248 +2.8% | 20 |
| 611d |  Euan | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,285 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 611d |  aenews2 | COVID | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,736 | +$85 +3.1% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹 | Trans/Transgender | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,099 | −$87 −4.2% | — |
| 611d | 🍝👹 | Department of Education | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$33 −2.8% | — |
| 611d |  rugged23 | DOGE 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 611d | Euan3 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,540 | +$992 +13% | 20 |
| 611d | winner1243 fills | Department of Education | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $7,804 | −$7,804 −100% | 29 |
| 611d |  Axios | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$20 +2.0% | 20 |
| 611d |  533225dhf2 fills | Department of Education | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | −$547 −24% | — |
| 611d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment2 fills | Department of Education | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $2,084 | −$2,084 −100% | 24 |
| 611d | Tenable-Dome | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,901 | +$50 +1.0% | 20 |
| 611d | LFC8 | Department of Education | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$709 +17% | 20 |
| 611d | rugged23 | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$47 +4.4% | 20 |
| 611d | yyyyyyy2 fills | COVID | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,547 | +$213 +8.4% | 20 |
| 611d | RememberAmalek | TikTok | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$9 +0.8% | 20 |
| 611d |  Bertapotamous | NATO | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$15 +1.5% | 20 |
| 611d | Euan | Kickback | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$263 +13% | 20 |
| 611d | Euan | DOGE 3+ times | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | −$169 −12% | — |
| 611d | hbbolt | Kickback | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$127 +10.0% | 20 |
| 611d | winner1242 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $18,000 | −$18,000 −100% | 32 |
| 611d | Dogsinapile | Department of Education | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$770 −66% | — |
| 611d | winner124 | Kickback | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,288 | −$1,288 −100% | 22 |
| 611d |  mr.ozi | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,545 | +$455 +7.0% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹5 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $23,127 | +$4,305 +19% | 20 |
| 611d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | DOGE 3+ times | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | +$1,152 +100% | — |
| 611d |  414B | Trans/Transgender | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,315 | −$1,315 −100% | 21 |
| 611d |  Japan | DOGE 3+ times | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,045 | −$1,045 −100% | 20 |
| 611d | Shark134 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $9,833 | −$9,833 −100% | 27 |
| 611d |  Debosnys | October 7 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$17 +1.6% | 20 |
| 611d | 🍝👹 | Kickback | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,822 | −$1,822 −100% | 22 |
| 611d | pkz | DOGE 3+ times | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,512 | −$1,512 −100% | 22 |
| 611d | LFC82 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $2,931 | −$2,931 −100% | 21 |
| 611d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG2 fills | Department of Education | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $4,121 | −$4,121 −100% | 22 |
| 611d | RememberAmalek5 fills | DOGE 3+ times | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $17,047 | +$2,943 +17% | 20 |
| 611d |  Wickier | DOGE 3+ times | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | −$673 −37% | — |
Ryder36 shares
quantumwizard5 sharesDonald Trump and Elon Musk are scheduled to sit for their first joint interview on February 18. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5146248-trump-elon-musk-hannity-fox-news-doge/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by one or both individuals, or otherwise is not aired by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the "Yes" condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for DOGE 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.