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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rig/Rigged | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cat | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fact Check | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fraud | 0% | −72 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Springfield | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Moderator | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 0% | −86 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abdul | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dog | 100% | +29 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Veto | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 771d |  BlackSky123 | Cat | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,047 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management | Fraud | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 771d | professorx | Cat | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,009 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d |  Apsalar | Cat | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$131 +11% | 20 |
| 771d |  50Whence2 fills | Cat | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | −$2,350 −100% | 26 |
| 771d |  Mr-Yolos | Cat | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,771 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 771d |  TimeQuestion | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,314 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | TimeQuestion | China 5+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,151 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | TimeQuestion | Cat | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,851 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d |  Mrmarket334 | Fraud | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,733 | −$48 −1.0% | — |
| 771d | mizu | Fraud | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$45 +3.8% | 20 |
| 771d |  Car | Fraud | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,925 | +$80 +4.2% | 20 |
| 771d |  EdgyUsername | Fraud | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | −$425 −25% | — |
| 771d |  RMR316 | Border 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,096 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 771d | sOswa1d | Fraud | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 771d |  MLBksRETARD | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,376 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 771d | DaKakuna | Fraud | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,197 | +$381 +12% | 20 |
| 771d | Apsalar | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,333 | +$205 +1.0% | 20 |
| 771d | poptree5 fills | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,080 | +$335 +2.2% | 20 |
| 771d | Mrmarket334 | Fraud | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$934 +53% | 20 |
| 771d | EscalateFund8 fills | Fraud | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $12,557 | −$12,557 −100% | 20 |
| 771d |  05brownboy | Tampon | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | −$560 −25% | — |
| 771d | PlsPlsPls | Rig/Rigged | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 771d |  BustedCungly | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$45 +1.0% | 20 |
| 771d |  Axios | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,345 +67% | 20 |
| 771d |  size | Rig/Rigged | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | +$1,051 +100% | — |
| 771d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Dog | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,363 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d |  CookedAlligator | Tampon | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$206 +19% | 20 |
| 771d | Mrmarket334 | Rig/Rigged | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,046 | +$2,046 +100% | — |
| 771d | BustedCungly | Rig/Rigged | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 771d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Abortion | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,034 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | trmp | Border 15+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 771d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Border 15+ times | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$1,701 +104% | 20 |
| 771d | DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $8,134 | +$2,419 +30% | 20 |
| 771d | professorx | Springfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,930 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | Chad-Wasp | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,769 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d |  AgricultureSecretary | Abortion | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,780 | +$99 +1.0% | 20 |
| 771d | ZXCVBNM-256 | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 20 |
| 771d | Axios | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,082 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 771d | Axios | Springfield | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,905 | −$39 −1.0% | — |
| 771d | Axios | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$103 +5.2% | 20 |
| 771d | Axios2 fills | Springfield | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,419 | +$525 +15% | 20 |
| 771d | ssxeet | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$106 −9.9% | — |
| 771d | Folletin | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$64 +3.1% | 20 |
| 771d | ZXCVBNM-256 | Abortion | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 771d | 😏😏😏 | Abortion | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,958 | +$42 +1.1% | 20 |
| 771d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | MAGA 4+ times | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,854 | −$2,854 −100% | 23 |
| 771d | Lopgft3 fills | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $13,562 | +$4,233 +31% | 20 |
| 771d | Ch54 fills | Fact Check | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $9,912 | −$9,912 −100% | 28 |
| 771d | Dangerous-Postage | Tampon | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | +$4,567 +188% | 23 |
| 771d | peoplearestrange | Border 15+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$230 +19% | 20 |
| 771d |  HaterzLoserz2 fills | Fact Check | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,983 | +$2,328 +47% | 20 |
| 771d | lug | Fact Check | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$504 +39% | 20 |
| 771d |  BuckMySalls | Cat | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $2,109 | +$2,109 +100% | — |
| 771d | ZXCVBNM-256 | Abortion | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$1,089 +82% | 20 |
| 771d | gimpyegon | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,484 | +$2,032 +27% | 20 |
| 771d | HaterzLoserz | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 20 |
| 771d | Lopgft | Rig/Rigged | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | −$335 −20% | — |
| 771d | Lopgft | Border 15+ times | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$433 −23% | — |
| 771d | BachmanTurnerOverdrive | Cat | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his rally in Tucson, Arizona, scheduled for September 12, 2024, 2 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rig/Rigged means the market gives it about 100%.