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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela 3+ times | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 35+ times | 100% | +55 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 30+ times | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dark MAGA | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Insane Asylum | 100% | +16 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Million 15+ times | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border Kari Lake | 0% | −55 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Every State Is A Border State | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Salt/SALT | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −58 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hispanic | 0% | −82 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe 4+ times | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nayib Bukele | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736d | VvVv | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | rpo | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,930 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 736d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,152 | +$49 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 736d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 736d | Ordon | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,213 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 736d | dontshowmyname | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 736d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $6,967 | −$33 −0.5% | — | |
| 736d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,244 | +$22 +0.4% | 20 |
| 737d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,142 | −$77 −1.1% | — | |
| 737d | PM777 | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,035 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
| 737d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,940 | +$80 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 737d | WigglyWaffles | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 20 |
| 737d | Chad-Wasp2 fills | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,818 | −$328 −2.1% | — |
| 737d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,820 | −$119 −2.0% | — | |
| 737d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | −$31 −1.2% | — | |
| 738d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 738d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,579 | +$48 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 738d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,176 | −$39 −0.5% | — | |
| 738d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,089 | −$85 −0.6% | — | |
| 738d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,780 | −$77 −0.6% | — | |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | −$18 −0.6% | — | |
| 739d | MageGold | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,481 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,875 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,703 | +$218 +3.2% | 20 | |
| 739d | poptree | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,487 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo100¢ | $3,259 | +$16 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 739d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,057 | −$78 −0.7% | — | |
| 739d | duckduck | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,981 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 740d | MageGold | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$74 +4.7% | 20 |
| 740d | CloudCactus2 fills | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,118 | −$364 −17% | — |
| 740d | BiggieSols-466 | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$200 −16% | — |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$171 +10% | 20 | |
| 740d | dontbullymeillcum | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$108 +6.8% | 20 |
| 740d | VvVv | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,027 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | 0xffffffff | Gun 5+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$66 −5.2% | — | |
| 740d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,191 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | +$56 +2.9% | 20 | |
| 740d | polyswiss | Venezuela 3+ times | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$98 −8.7% | — |
| 740d | Idylll03 | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,216 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$300 +17% | 20 | |
| 740d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Salt/SALT | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,634 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Border Kari Lake | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | MandoCT | Border Kari Lake | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,103 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$228 +4.6% | 20 | |
| 740d | longtern | Salt/SALT | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,684 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 740d | chocolate123 | Gun 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 740d | polyswiss | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$42 +4.1% | 20 |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | +$303 +18% | 20 | |
| 740d | Tampon | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$16 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 740d | Venezuela 3+ times | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 20 | |
| 740d | ohooho | Gun 5+ times | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $2,052 | −$2,052 −100% | 20 |
| 740d | skrrrr | Border 20+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,183 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 740d | Border 35+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 740d | scoobydoobydoo | Salt/SALT | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $2,887 | −$2,887 −100% | 20 |
| 740d | DaKakuna | Border 20+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 740d | polyswiss | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 740d | Unwitting-Hockey | Insane Asylum | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Prescott Valley, Arizona scheduled for October 13, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Venezuela 3+ times means the market gives it about 0%.