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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 7+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Friend of mine | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Apple | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 5+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sanction | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Knucklehead / Numbskull | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | EscalateFund | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,486 | +$286 +6.4% | 20 |
| 442d | chocolate123 | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$141 +12% | 20 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at a ceremony honoring 100 purple heart recipients on August 7, at 4:00 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/08/07/trump-honors-purple-heart-recipients/85555752007/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not broadcast by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled "The President delivers remarks" event (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.