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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 30+ times | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| FEMA | 100% | +62 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Missile Defense Shield | 0% | −89 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Tax 30+ times | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fracking 3+ times | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vance | 100% | +39 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −89 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hurricane 3+ times | 0% | −66 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 2+ times | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 30+ times | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hillary | 100% | +39 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Too Big To Rig | 0% | −91 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina 3+ times | 0% | −56 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reagan | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death Tax | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742d |  Scrubby22 | Border 30+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,331 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 742d |  Lisbon333 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,437 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 742d |  Infringe2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,213 | +$111 +1.8% | 20 |
| 742d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,149 | +$202 +0.4% | 20 |
| 742d |  itsgg | Border 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | +$115 +2.1% | 20 |
| 742d | Muromec | Tax 30+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 742d |  aenews22 fills | Border 30+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,053 | −$368 −2.0% | — |
| 742d | brrrrrrrrrrrr | Border 30+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d |  Pidor🐓 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | Pidor🐓 | Border 30+ times | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | −$62 −3.4% | — |
| 742d |  RememberAmalek | Border 30+ times | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,919 | −$167 −3.4% | — |
| 742d |  palisade2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,350 | +$261 +2.5% | 20 |
| 742d |  XiJinPing-4782 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | +$73 +3.4% | 20 |
| 742d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,674 | +$445 +5.8% | 20 |
| 742d | WigglyWaffles | Border 30+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,114 | +$427 +3.8% | 20 |
| 742d | nostracanis | Border 30+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | +$112 +4.0% | 20 |
| 742d |  BustedCungly | Border 30+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 742d | aenews2 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,630 | +$370 +3.8% | 20 |
| 742d |  Secret14thKey | Border 30+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$67 +5.3% | 20 |
| 742d | Joe111-159 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,699 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 742d | Rainiak | Border 30+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,887 | −$100 −2.6% | — |
| 742d |  Anon1792681 | Border 30+ times | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $16,232 | −$416 −2.6% | — |
| 742d |  BFBB | Border 30+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$190 +15% | 20 |
| 742d | LFC8 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$192 +15% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon17926812 fills | FEMA | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 742d | brrrrrrrrrrrr3 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $3,545 | −$3,545 −100% | 25 |
| 742d |  Milktoast | Border 20+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,874 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon17926812 fills | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,108 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 742d | Anon1792681 | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 742d |  TradeDeficitArchitect2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,858 | +$1,864 +65% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon17926813 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,941 | +$1,826 +31% | 20 |
| 742d | ohooho | Border 30+ times | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,665 | −$2,665 −100% | 20 |
| 742d | Kroll7035 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $8,178 | −$8,178 −100% | 25 |
| 742d | 😏😏😏 | Missile Defense Shield | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | ohooho | Border 30+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$156 +14% | 20 |
| 742d | Scrubby22 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | +$267 +14% | 20 |
| 742d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Too Big To Rig | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$57 +5.3% | 20 |
| 742d |  AgricultureSecretary | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$33 +3.1% | 20 |
| 742d | LFC8 | Trans | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$147 +12% | 20 |
| 742d | Rainiak | Border 30+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$46 +2.0% | 20 |
| 742d | poptree2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $9,189 | +$811 +8.8% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon17926813 fills | FEMA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,910 | +$90 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | poptree5 fills | FEMA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,429 | +$267 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | 😏😏😏 | FEMA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d |  Axios2 fills | FEMA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,251 | +$53 +1.0% | 20 |
| 742d | AgricultureSecretary | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$58 +5.3% | 20 |
| 742d | semi | Border 30+ times | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$543 +35% | 20 |
| 742d | RememberAmalek | Border 30+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 20 |
| 742d | RememberAmalek | Border 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,019 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon1792681 | Vance | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,894 | +$106 +3.7% | 20 |
| 742d |  Eridpnc2 fills | Border 30+ times | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | −$677 −28% | — |
| 742d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $10,070 | +$2,667 +26% | 20 |
| 742d | Anon1792681 | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$16 +1.6% | 20 |
| 742d | Scrubby22 | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 742d | Anon17926812 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,171 | +$76 +1.8% | 20 |
| 742d | Axios | Hillary | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | +$70 +3.2% | 20 |
| 742d | anon1565 | Border 20+ times | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $11,463 | +$1,027 +9.0% | 20 |
| 742d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Hurricane 3+ times | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | +$1,460 +100% | — |
| 742d |  altt444 | Border 30+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $10,500 | +$4,500 +43% | 20 |
| 742d |  Mrmarket334 | Tax 30+ times | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$480 +29% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Aurora, Colorado scheduled for October 11, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Border 30+ times means the market gives it about 100%.