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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Front Row Joe | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +7 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Vote 25+ times | 100% | +54 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −71 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina 20+ times | 100% | +83 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Dark MAGA | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 6+ times | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · 15¢ | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Garbage Truck | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Camera | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Graffiti | 100% | +72 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720d |  AgricultureSecretary | Dark MAGA | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,590 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | 0xf5c4cf572be0826d8dd770d09e835149b204e86 | Trans | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 720d |  syncope | God 4+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 720d | AgricultureSecretary | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,251 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 720d | AgricultureSecretary | Tampon | BuyNo100¢ | $1,493 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 720d |  Anon1792681 | Trans | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,823 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 720d | poptree | Trans | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,610 | +$390 +6.9% | 20 |
| 720d |  Mr-Yolos | Border 30+ times | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,821 | +$118 +4.2% | 20 |
| 720d | Mr-Yolos2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,412 | +$84 +1.3% | 20 |
| 720d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | Front Row Joe | BuyYes>99¢ | $35,596 | +$99 +0.3% | 20 |
| 720d | AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Front Row Joe | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,614 | +$48 +0.5% | 20 |
| 720d |  Wallonie4Congress | Trans | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$68 +4.2% | 20 |
| 720d | Anon1792681 | Front Row Joe | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,930 | +$70 +1.0% | 20 |
| 720d |  Axios2 fills | Front Row Joe | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,315 | +$372 +7.0% | 20 |
| 720d |  Mrmarket334 | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$346 +28% | 20 |
| 720d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | +$75 +2.6% | 20 |
| 720d |  romanroy2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,196 | +$112 +2.7% | 20 |
| 720d | syncope | North Carolina 20+ times | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$5,221 +450% | 21 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$63 +4.2% | 21 |
| 721d | Mr-Yolos | Trans | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$109 +7.5% | 22 |
This is a market group over which terms Donald Trump will use during his rally in Greensboro, North Carolina scheduled for November 2, 2024, 7:30 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.