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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA 3+ times | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Gang | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Communism | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Hamas | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +14 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Mail-in | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Afghanistan | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venezuela | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border Czar | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Illegal immigration | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Union | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 778d |  CookedAlligator | Gang | SellNo100¢ | $1,286 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 778d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,733 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Gang | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,881 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,146 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,729 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | anon15653 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,127 | +$750 +7.4% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Mail-in | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,816 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Border 15+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 778d | anon1565 | Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,240 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 778d |  RememberAmalek | Afghanistan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,740 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 778d |  aenews2 | Gang | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,446 | +$287 +5.3% | 20 |
| 778d |  scottilicious | Afghanistan | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,663 | +$417 +8.9% | 20 |
| 778d | nonum | Gang | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 20 |
| 778d | OmenOfLord2 fills | Crypto | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,422 | +$134 +2.5% | 20 |
| 778d |  poorindian | Communism | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | −$129 −5.0% | — |
| 778d | poorindian | Afghanistan | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | −$88 −4.2% | — |
| 778d | scottilicious2 fills | Gang | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,939 | +$104 +3.5% | 20 |
| 778d |  carp | Afghanistan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 |
| 779d |  05brownboy | Afghanistan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 779d | scottilicious2 fills | Communism | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,384 | +$661 +4.0% | 20 |
| 779d | carp | Communism | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | +$168 +7.1% | 20 |
| 779d | RememberAmalek | Communism | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,245 | +$805 +11% | 20 |
| 779d | aenews2 | Communism | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,168 | +$685 +16% | 20 |
| 779d |  🍝👹 | Communism | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | +$375 +16% | 20 |
| 779d |  mango-lassi | Gang | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,319 | +$480 +11% | 20 |
| 779d | 🍝👹 | Gang | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$561 +11% | 20 |
| 779d | carp2 fills | Gang | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,545 | +$687 +12% | 20 |
| 779d | OmenOfLord | Gang | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$356 +33% | 20 |
| 779d |  MALDEMER | Crypto | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,570 | +$397 +11% | 20 |
| 779d | carp | Crypto | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | +$297 +7.5% | 20 |
| 779d | Aarons326 | Afghanistan | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 20 |
| 779d | carp | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,721 | +$48 +1.0% | 20 |
| 779d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 779d | aldynspeedruns2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,456 | +$119 +2.2% | 20 |
| 779d | unwoundmouse | Crypto | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 779d | Aarons326 | Crypto | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,868 | +$99 +2.0% | 20 |
| 779d | unwoundmouse | Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$29 +2.0% | 20 |
| 779d | poptree | McDonald's | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,139 | +$237 +5.7% | 20 |
| 779d | poptree2 fills | Union | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,617 | +$403 +2.8% | 20 |
| 779d | Aarons326 | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$241 +12% | 20 |
| 779d | poptree2 fills | Hamas | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,967 | +$164 +2.4% | 20 |
| 779d | carp | Venezuela | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,882 | +$59 +1.2% | 20 |
| 779d | 05brownboy | Border 15+ times | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,309 | +$578 +25% | 20 |
| 779d | anon1565 | Border Czar | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$43 +1.6% | 20 |
| 779d | Ch52 fills | Mail-in | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | +$1,480 +39% | 20 |
| 779d |  Ripperino2 fills | Border Czar | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$124 +4.2% | 20 |
| 779d | RememberAmalek | Gang | BuyNo27¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$2,932 +270% | 20 |
| 779d | unwoundmouse | McDonald's | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,945 | −$1,945 −100% | 20 |
| 779d | CookedAlligator | Illegal immigration | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$51 +2.0% | 20 |
| 779d | Ripperino | Venezuela | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$173 +13% | 20 |
| 779d | Ripperino | Illegal immigration | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$202 +13% | 20 |
| 779d | L114 | Border Czar | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$1,735 +37% | 20 |
| 779d |  HaterzLoserz7 fills | Israel | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $44,292 | +$5,150 +12% | 23 |
| 779d |  g... | Border 15+ times | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,414 | +$1,204 +50% | 20 |
| 779d | g... | Mail-in | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 22 |
| 779d | g... | Venezuela | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 779d | Scented-Proof | Border 15+ times | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | +$1,152 +56% | 20 |
| 779d | HaterzLoserz4 fills | MAGA 3+ times | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $14,603 | −$14,603 −100% | 28 |
| 779d | HaterzLoserz5 fills | Hamas | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $26,000 | +$23,010 +88% | 20 |
| 779d | HaterzLoserz2 fills | Mail-in | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $6,145 | −$6,145 −100% | 27 |
This is a market on predictions for what Donald Trump will say during the Hannity town hall event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for MAGA 3+ times means the market gives it about 0%.