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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · 34¢ | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine | 100% | +34 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender 7+ times | 100% | +49 pts | — | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +83 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Star | 100% | +3 pts | — | 6¢ · >99¢ (94¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran 5+ times | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax 20+ times | 0% | — | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Data Center | 100% | +83 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crime / Criminal 12+ times | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Filibuster | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Aluminum / Steel | 100% | +36 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Milk | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · 29¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 15+ times | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| America First / Gulf of America | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · 31¢ | — | ended |
| Gay | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | pilipro4 | Star | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
GodRama55 shares
aerotynecapital42 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clemson-sc-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in South Carolina on October 21, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times means the market gives it about 0%.