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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −38 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Doge/Dogecoin | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Illegal Immigrant/Immigration | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| TikTok | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +83 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| America 15+ times | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 100% | +39 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Los Angeles | 100% | +66 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| America First | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 5+ times | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 6 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Middle Class | 0% | −77 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mandate 3+ times | 100% | +82 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Carnage | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | abeautifulmind | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d |  just.some.guy | McDonald's | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 641d | abeautifulmind | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,412 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,608 | +$51 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d |  Kalags | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $3,097 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 641d | JoSan | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,118 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 641d |  RememberAmalek | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Gamblrx32 fills | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,411 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx32 fills | America First | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,523 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | VvVv | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | 1Thane | Los Angeles | SellYes>99¢ | $1,046 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 641d | just.some.guy | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,862 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | diseax | Border 5+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,295 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 641d | 0xd49c…8150 | Hell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,136 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | TikTok | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,421 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | Doge/Dogecoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,877 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | Geigk091 | Ceasefire | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 641d | rbczz | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,183 | +$43 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight2 fills | January 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,373 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | TikTok | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,690 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | dmft | Doge/Dogecoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,602 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 641d |  Anon1792681 | Los Angeles | SellYes>99¢ | $2,226 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | estebanqs | Elon Musk | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,515 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 641d |  trumpetplayer10 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $45,120 | −$27,542 −61% | — |
| 641d | rpo | America 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,229 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 641d |  jesterthegoose | America 15+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,266 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,099 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 641d | trumpetplayer | TikTok | SellNo>99¢ | $7,796 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 641d |  Negeto | Middle Class | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,405 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Kamala | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,018 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | rpo | America 15+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $2,215 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 641d | Skyler774 | AI/Artificial Intelligence | SellNo>99¢ | $2,471 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 641d | pantomime | America 15+ times | BuyYes100¢ | $3,316 | +$17 +0.5% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Doge/Dogecoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,477 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Illegal Immigrant/Immigration | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,958 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d |  Bertapotamous | Mandate 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Trans | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,970 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | pantomime | Mandate 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,648 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | America 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,055 | +$102 +1.0% | 20 |
| 641d | Gamblrx3 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,361 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d |  ARudeEgg | TikTok | SellNo>99¢ | $1,829 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Liquidifier | America First | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Anon1792681 | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | McDonald's | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d |  vocifer2 fills | America 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,653 | +$125 +1.3% | 20 |
| 641d |  Dropper4 fills | America 15+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,609 | +$328 +5.0% | 20 |
| 641d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | TikTok | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,594 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | KennyM | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes>99¢ | $1,817 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d |  OSINTfrenzy | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes>99¢ | $2,099 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | akjwehf | America 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 641d | pulan | TikTok | SellNo>99¢ | $2,080 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 641d |  sharks-485 | Los Angeles | SellYes>99¢ | $1,835 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | trumpetplayer | Illegal Immigrant/Immigration | SellNo>99¢ | $1,929 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | andresay102 fills | America 15+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,893 | +$72 +2.5% | 20 |
| 641d | Liquidifier | AI/Artificial Intelligence | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,968 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 |
| 641d | lkean9 | Doge/Dogecoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,012 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 641d | Anon1792681 | Illegal Immigrant/Immigration | SellNo>99¢ | $1,715 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 641d | pulan | Trans | SellNo>99¢ | $1,266 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 641d | 0xganymede0x | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,754 | −$35 −0.5% | — |
This is a market group over what terms Donald J. Trump will mention during his inauguration speech currently scheduled for January 20, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.