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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sex change | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 0% | −74 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Robinson | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Garbage | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 8+ times | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Carolina 20+ | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vote 25+ times | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million 5+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cognitively Impaired | 0% | −44 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| RFK | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −66 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fake News 10+ times | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Kamala 25+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | rumtumtugger | Kamala 25+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,160 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 719d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,241 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | nevitius | Border 30+ times | SellNo100¢ | $1,209 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 719d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $5,673 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 719d | DapperChapper | Vote 25+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | DapperChapper | North Carolina 20+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | DapperChapper | Border 20+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d |  Wallonie4Congress | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $4,643 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 719d |  Parz1vaI | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | Oggi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,893 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | Amedenyst177 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,886 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d | Parz1vaI | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,696 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 719d |  Anon1792681 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 719d | rumtumtugger | Border 20+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 719d | Ordon3 fills | Border 20+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,210 | +$290 +6.9% | 20 |
| 719d | AgricultureSecretary | Border 20+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$32 +2.6% | 20 |
| 719d | Ordon | Border 20+ times | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | −$67 −5.3% | — |
| 719d |  romanroy | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | −$35 −2.2% | — |
| 719d |  Scrubby22 | Garbage | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 719d |  Axios3 fills | China 8+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,346 | +$54 +1.0% | 20 |
| 719d | Anon1792681 | China 8+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,920 | +$80 +1.2% | 20 |
| 719d | Rainiak | China 8+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$195 +15% | 20 |
| 719d |  neetbets | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$466 +33% | 20 |
| 719d |  carp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | +$138 +4.5% | 20 |
| 719d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 20 |
| 719d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 20 |
| 719d | lug2 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,644 | +$592 +2.4% | 21 |
| 719d |  syncope | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | +$832 +43% | 20 |
| 719d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$2,100 +43% | 20 |
| 719d |  Infringe | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,216 | +$1,384 +43% | 20 |
| 719d |  Dropper | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 20 |
| 719d |  Mrmarket334 | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,286 +43% | 20 |
| 719d |  Wickier | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 20 |
| 719d | mr.ozi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 20 |
| 719d | Mrmarket334 | Mark Robinson | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | −$529 −25% | — |
| 719d | EscalateFund | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$29 +1.9% | 20 |
| 719d |  Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,782 | +$154 +3.2% | 21 |
| 720d | Mrmarket334 | Mark Robinson | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$337 +20% | 26 |
| 720d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Mark Robinson | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$275 +23% | 26 |
| 720d | nevitius | Border 30+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$98 +8.8% | 22 |
| 720d | Mr-Yolos | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$41 +2.0% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump at the Kinston, NC rally.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.