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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border 15+ times | 0% | −86 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China 10+ times | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 0% | −51 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −47 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 2+ times | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Get out and vote | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reagan | 0% | −61 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Inflation 10+ times | 100% | +69 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tips | 0% | −73 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liquid Gold 3+ times | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drill Baby Drill | 100% | +47 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −84 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Black Jobs | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA 3+ times | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d | Silentwave | Iran | SellNo>99¢ | $1,708 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 756d |  Slimedart | Border 30+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $5,984 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 756d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,656 | +$58 +0.9% | 20 |
| 756d | dccronin2 | Reagan | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,891 | −$95 −3.3% | — |
| 756d | anon1565 | AI | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$35 +3.1% | 20 |
| 756d |  Dropper | Tips | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d |  Anon52152 fills | Reagan | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,410 | +$90 +1.2% | 20 |
| 756d | Anon5215 | Comrade Kamala 2+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | +$35 +2.0% | 20 |
| 756d | anon1565 | Trans | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 20 |
| 756d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | +$35 +2.0% | 20 |
| 756d |  Axios2 fills | Get out and vote | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,967 | +$511 +10% | 20 |
| 756d | anon1565 | Iran | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,662 | +$170 +6.4% | 20 |
| 756d | DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $27,013 | +$9,340 +35% | 20 |
| 756d |  Parz1vaI | Reagan | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$1,647 +144% | 20 |
| 756d | Gatito | Get out and vote | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,280 | −$2,280 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | dccronin2 | Reagan | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$1,762 +144% | 20 |
| 756d | Anon5215 | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,480 | +$76 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d | Axios | China 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d | botbot | Border 30+ times | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 20 |
| 756d |  JanSobieski32 fills | Border 30+ times | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$1,115 +47% | 20 |
| 756d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Border 15+ times | BuyNo14¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$6,961 +616% | 21 |
| 756d | Axios | Liquid Gold 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d | Axios | Drill Baby Drill | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 756d | chambers | Border 30+ times | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$430 +43% | 20 |
| 756d | DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | China 10+ times | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $15,034 | −$3,482 −23% | — |
| 756d |  YoungGriff | Elon Musk | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 21 |
| 756d | Lucky31 | Comrade Kamala 2+ times | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | blummy | AI | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$393 +34% | 20 |
| 756d |  ImJustKen | Trans | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$2,343 +128% | 21 |
| 756d |  g...2 fills | Trans | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $8,377 | +$8,566 +102% | 28 |
| 756d |  just.some.guy | Inflation 10+ times | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | JanSobieski3 | Comrade Kamala 2+ times | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$560 +39% | 20 |
| 756d | Chad-Wasp | Drill Baby Drill | SellYes27¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | −$4,380 −270% | — |
| 756d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | Trans | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $6,753 | +$9,856 +146% | 23 |
| 756d |  Mr.Lovegood | AI | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | SureBet745 | Border 30+ times | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,587 | −$1,450 −56% | — |
| 756d | anon1565 | Drill Baby Drill | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,827 | −$2,827 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | Chad-Wasp | Comrade Kamala 2+ times | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,576 | −$1,576 −100% | 22 |
| 756d |  EdgyUsername | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$77 −6.4% | — |
| 756d | EdgyUsername | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$64 +5.3% | 20 |
| 756d |  Scrubby22 | Inflation 10+ times | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,483 | −$3,483 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | Besh24 | AI | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$926 +64% | 20 |
| 756d | Chad-Wasp | Liquid Gold 3+ times | BuyYes15¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$6,617 +567% | 21 |
| 756d |  magozino | Elon Musk | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$235 +23% | 20 |
| 756d | EdgyUsername | AI | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$767 +64% | 20 |
| 757d | Slimedart | Border 30+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 20 |
| 757d | nostracanis2 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $2,713 | −$2,713 −100% | 34 |
| 757d | Ch5 | Trans | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $5,207 | +$4,099 +79% | 20 |
| 757d | lug | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 757d |  0943 | Border 15+ times | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | −$1,136 −100% | 20 |
| 757d | 0943 | AI | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $4,202 | +$3,439 +82% | 20 |
| 757d | JanSobieski3 | Trans | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | −$2,607 −100% | — |
| 757d | JanSobieski3 | China 10+ times | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 24 |
| 757d | 09432 fills | China 10+ times | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $3,482 | −$3,482 −100% | 27 |
| 757d |  Gerdano | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$106 +4.3% | 21 |
| 757d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | AI | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$2,054 +82% | 28 |
| 757d |  balablaa | AI | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$901 +82% | 28 |
| 757d |  BlackSky123 | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,147 | −$113 −5.3% | — |
| 757d | OPMSucks | China 10+ times | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$360 +22% | 25 |
| 757d | georgejetson | AI | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$902 +82% | 28 |
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Trump during his town hall scheduled for Warren, Michigan, on September 27, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Border 15+ times means the market gives it about 0%.