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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Turkey / Erdogan | 100% | +29 pts | — | 71¢ · >99¢ (29¢) | — | — |
| Syria | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Pardon | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Eighth war / Eight wars | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Hell | 100% | +14 pts | — | 98¢ · 99¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| ISIS | 100% | +28 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| N-word | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Gaza / Israel 12+ times | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Bibi 3+ times | 100% | −12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Real peace / Legitimate peace | 100% | −13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Hostage 4+ times | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Phase Two / Second Phase | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hanukkah / Chanukah | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| F-35 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | — |
| Border | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 293d |  OraculumNobius4 fills | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $24,578 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  aaa6 | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $8,734 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 294d |  noreasapa | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,978 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 294d | iamgone | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,248 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 294d | nking1111 | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $1,139 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  qjrPM1 | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $3,783 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | haraya | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | Probs | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 295d | OraculumNobius5 fills | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,581 | +$68 +0.5% | 20 |
| 295d |  Car | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes100¢ | $1,835 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 295d | wiq | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $9,176 | −$45 −0.5% | — |
| 296d |  UwO | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,291 | +$213 +2.6% | 20 |
| 296d |  Debosnys | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | +$87 +2.7% | 20 |
| 296d |  JJo | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$46 +3.9% | 20 |
| 296d |  Merlot | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | −$84 −6.4% | — |
| 296d | aaa6 | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,626 | +$74 +2.0% | 20 |
| 296d |  iForgor | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | −$151 −7.2% | — |
| 296d |  bernardbulletin | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$87 −6.4% | — |
| 296d |  aenews2 | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,483 | +$1,013 +29% | 20 |
| 296d |  eightpenguins | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | −$410 −35% | — |
| 296d |  Naichli | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $6,521 | +$2,795 +43% | 20 |
| 296d | eightpenguins | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | +$1,023 +45% | 20 |
| 296d |  Parz1vaI | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$990 +43% | 20 |
| 296d | aenews2 | Nuclear 3+ times | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | +$1,011 +100% | — |
| 296d |  Salomon-Brothers | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$620 +45% | 20 |
| 297d | CitSec | Nuclear 3+ times | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,193 | −$1,799 −18% | — |
| 298d |  CosmicCedar | Phase Two / Second Phase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | Hanukkah / Chanukah | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,916 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | ISIS | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,054 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d |  ZhangMuZhi- | Pardon | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | Pardon | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,178 | +$22 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | Hamas / Hezbollah | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,400 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | ZhangMuZhi-2 fills | Syria | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,822 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | ForFamily2 fills | Syria | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,915 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys3 fills | Syria | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,188 | +$32 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d | ForFamily | Hamas / Hezbollah | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,644 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d | ForFamily2 fills | ISIS | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,681 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d |  iGod24 | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$675 +67% | 20 |
| 298d | Car | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$1,090 +70% | 20 |
| 298d |  opolon3 fills | Gaza / Israel 12+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,032 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d |  HowToBasic | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 298d | HowToBasic | Bibi 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | N-word | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,470 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d |  ScottyNooo | Hell | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,941 | +$211 +5.3% | 20 |
| 298d |  whot | Hell | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$60 +5.7% | 20 |
| 298d | AlexPro | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 20 |
| 298d | ngggrah | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,497 | −$2,497 −100% | 20 |
| 298d |  Trading4Fridge | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,361 | −$1,361 −100% | 20 |
| 298d | CitSec | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$937 +54% | 20 |
| 298d |  Nobo | ISIS | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Debosnys | Gaza / Israel 12+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 298d | Nobo | Syria | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | Nobo | Turkey / Erdogan | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,238 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | opolon | Turkey / Erdogan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,365 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d |  CoffeeLover | Syria | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 298d | qjrPM1 | Nuclear 3+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$486 +19% | 20 |
| 298d |  Jiber | Syria | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,350 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 298d | qjrPM1 | Turkey / Erdogan | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 298d | ZhangMuZhi-2 fills | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | opolon | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,989 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
Alexparker30,265 shares
Kamenshyk223,222 shares
GayPride2,454 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in a bilateral meeting with Benyamin Netanyahu on December 29, 2025 (see https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/8/trump-to-host-netanyahu-at-white-house-on-december-29-israeli-government). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Israeli Prime Minister on December 29, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Israeli Prime Minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Nuclear 3+ times means the market gives it about 100%.