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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springfield | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rig/Rigged | 100% | +15 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Haitian 5+ times | 0% | −37 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moderator | 100% | +80 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 5+ times | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | 85¢ · 100¢ (15¢) | — | ended |
| Border 15+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News 3+ times | 100% | +26 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tampon | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MAGA 4+ times | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cat | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Loomer | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala 3+ times | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Slopadopoulos | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abortion | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 50 Border States | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dog | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,692 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d |  donjo3 fills | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,069 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 770d | donjo | Loomer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | donjo | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,367 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d |  BlackSky123 | MAGA 4+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,776 | +$23 +0.4% | 20 |
| 770d | BlackSky123 | Fake News 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $5,447 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 770d |  Slimedart | China 5+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | anon1565 | Loomer | BuyNo100¢ | $19,877 | +$100 +0.5% | 20 |
| 770d |  mango-lassi2 fills | Slopadopoulos | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$112 +1.8% | 20 |
| 770d | anon15652 fills | 50 Border States | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,890 | +$110 +1.6% | 20 |
| 770d | EscalateFund | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,639 | −$1,639 −100% | 20 |
| 770d | mango-lassi | Haitian 5+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,778 | −$28 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | mango-lassi | Haitian 5+ times | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$91 +3.3% | 20 |
| 770d | DaKakuna | China 5+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | +$163 +6.0% | 20 |
| 770d |  Axios | China 5+ times | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,379 +55% | 20 |
| 770d |  nanunanu | Rig/Rigged | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$798 +72% | 20 |
| 770d |  Donkov | China 5+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$182 +11% | 20 |
| 770d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Slopadopoulos | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$56 +5.5% | 20 |
| 770d | Axios | Abortion | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$1,875 +105% | 20 |
| 770d | Axios | Tampon | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,346 +94% | 20 |
| 770d | Chad-Wasp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | +$82 +3.1% | 20 |
| 770d | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Loomer | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,242 | +$48 +2.1% | 20 |
| 770d |  RememberAmalek | Rig/Rigged | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | +$1,371 +100% | — |
| 770d |  TimeQuestion | Trans | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,269 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | Qtyu | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,337 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | Slimedart2 fills | Trans | SellYes>99¢ | $9,403 | −$28 −0.3% | — |
| 770d | Chad-Wasp | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,329 | −$248 −7.5% | — |
| 770d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe33 fills | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,847 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d |  SonOnTheRun | Rig/Rigged | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | +$1,245 +100% | — |
| 770d | TRUMPMAGA | China 5+ times | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,121 | +$1,121 +100% | — |
| 770d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Moderator | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,897 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | lug | Rig/Rigged | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | −$749 −60% | — |
| 770d |  snakether | China 5+ times | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 770d |  AgricultureSecretary | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,055 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 770d |  aldynspeedruns | Trans | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,931 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d |  EdgyUsername | 50 Border States | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,683 | −$2,683 −100% | 20 |
| 770d |  aenews2 | Border 15+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | +$58 +2.0% | 20 |
| 770d | anon1565 | Rig/Rigged | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,452 | −$1,452 −100% | 22 |
| 770d | 😏😏😏 | Trans | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | EdgyUsername2 fills | Trans | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | 😏😏😏 | Trans | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,486 | +$514 +21% | 20 |
| 770d |  carp2 fills | Border 15+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,873 | +$192 +6.7% | 20 |
| 770d | SalamAleikum | Border 15+ times | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 20 |
| 770d | Scented-Proof | Moderator | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | Xav3 fills | Cat | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $7,196 | −$7,196 −100% | 21 |
| 770d | aenews2 | Moderator | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 770d | nanunanu | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$120 +6.4% | 20 |
| 770d |  JJo | Tampon | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$1,532 +72% | 20 |
| 770d |  Apsalar | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | JJo | Fake News 3+ times | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,029 | +$568 +19% | 20 |
| 770d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Springfield | SellYes>99¢ | $1,178 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 770d | gimpyegon | Comrade Kamala 3+ times | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,772 | −$28 −1.0% | — |
| 770d | Axios | Springfield | SellYes>99¢ | $5,030 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 770d |  Anon5215 | Springfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,503 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 770d | Axios2 fills | Springfield | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,015 | +$20 +0.4% | 20 |
| 770d | Jer14 | Haitian 5+ times | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$1,513 +93% | 20 |
| 770d |  0943 | 50 Border States | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,686 | +$2,308 +49% | 20 |
| 770d | jcooper3123212321 | Haitian 5+ times | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$943 +92% | 20 |
| 770d | clownfiesta92 fills | Moderator | BuyYes19¢ → 100¢ | $4,693 | +$20,388 +434% | 29 |
| 770d | anon1565 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,719 | +$269 +9.9% | 20 |
This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his rally in Las Vegas, Nevada, scheduled for September 13, 2024, 7 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.
