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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto/Bitcoin | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 0% | −91 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 20+ times | 100% | +61 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McDonald's | 0% | −91 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 20+ times | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Border 30+ times | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut/Squirrel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pennsylvania 20+ times | 0% | −26 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Think Of It 5+ times | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China 7+ times | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico 4+ times | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trans | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Can You Imagine 3+ times | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 4+ times | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala 25+ times | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hitler | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −73 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gun 5+ times | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teleprompter 3+ times | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| Dark MAGA | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d |  Nickkk | Pocahontas | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 718d |  romanroy | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,294 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | VvVv | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  PolyFi-662 | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  Mr-Yolos | Crypto/Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,750 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 718d |  Eridpnc | Pocahontas | SellNo>99¢ | $2,611 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 718d |  AgricultureSecretary | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,292 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  Mrmarket334 | Peanut/Squirrel | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 718d | VvVv | Trans | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  Parz1vaI | Pennsylvania 20+ times | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$37 +2.6% | 20 |
| 718d |  mango-lassi | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  Dropper3 fills | Hell 20+ times | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,149 | +$270 +5.2% | 20 |
| 718d | mango-lassi | Border 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,427 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d | Mr.MYX | Border 30+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,265 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 718d |  SiO2 | Border 20+ times | SellNo>99¢ | $1,719 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | themeatonbone | Pocahontas | SellNo>99¢ | $2,382 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | hi4m | Hitler | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | DapperChapper | Border 30+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,710 | +$17 +0.3% | 20 |
| 718d | ARTKYSH | Hell 20+ times | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $2,844 | −$2,844 −100% | 24 |
| 718d | MandoCT | McDonald's | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | ARTKYSH | Pennsylvania 20+ times | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 718d |  Brokie | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 718d | ARTKYSH | Pocahontas | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | poptree | McDonald's | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,610 | +$390 +3.1% | 20 |
| 718d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Pocahontas | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,760 | +$566 +9.8% | 20 |
| 718d | SiO2 | Border 20+ times | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$92 +8.7% | 20 |
| 718d | P0LL | McDonald's | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$580 +31% | 20 |
| 718d | waitwhat | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $2,620 | −$2,620 −100% | 27 |
| 718d | AgricultureSecretary | Can You Imagine 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,657 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 718d |  Axios | China 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 718d | DapperChapper | Can You Imagine 3+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,979 | +$36 +0.9% | 20 |
| 718d | Axios4 fills | God 4+ times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,100 | +$176 +2.9% | 20 |
| 718d | StudentMoney | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$235 +14% | 20 |
| 718d | Mrmarket334 | Think Of It 5+ times | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | Mrmarket334 | Hell 20+ times | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | +$1,038 +100% | — |
| 718d | ARTKYSH3 fills | Pennsylvania 20+ times | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,075 | +$956 +23% | 20 |
| 718d | MandoCT | Pennsylvania 20+ times | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$576 +23% | 20 |
| 718d | FatFinger | Border 20+ times | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | +$1,299 +100% | — |
| 718d |  JanSobieski3 | McDonald's | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,376 | +$1,376 +100% | — |
| 718d | Chad-Wasp | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,534 | +$301 +1.8% | 20 |
| 718d | JanSobieski3 | Pocahontas | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,399 | +$1,399 +100% | — |
| 718d |  Asherwow | Pocahontas | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $9,124 | −$9,124 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | Roger2024 | Border 30+ times | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$213 +7.1% | 20 |
| 718d | Eridpnc | Pocahontas | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,639 | +$1,639 +100% | — |
| 718d | winnerchickendinner | Peanut/Squirrel | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 22 |
| 718d | mr.ozi | Can You Imagine 3+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$478 +31% | 20 |
| 718d | Mrmarket334 | Hell 20+ times | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | FatFinger | Border 20+ times | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,324 | −$1,324 −100% | 20 |
| 718d | polyswiss | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$39 +3.1% | 20 |
| 719d | nevitius | Pocahontas | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,282 | −$1,282 −100% | 22 |
| 719d | Mr-Yolos4 fills | Crypto/Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,352 | +$314 +2.0% | 21 |
| 719d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Hitler | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$402 +27% | 26 |
| 719d | Mr-Yolos | Tampon | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$46 +3.3% | 21 |
| 719d | JanSobieski3 | McDonald's | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 24 |
This is a market on predicting terms used by Trump during his rally in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania scheduled for November 4, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto/Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.