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Polymarket wallet 0xdc01d2bb533c9d471dc11217962b0c978904eed8 · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Well-Informed-Mug
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AP call the election on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 239 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,514 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Will the AP call the election on November 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 347 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the AP call the election on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,717 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 397 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 710d | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyYes10¢ | $155 |
| 710d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | SellYes7¢ | $155 |
| 715d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes15¢ | $325 |
| 717d | Trump wins every swing state? | SellYes97¢ | $242 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes>99¢ | $84 |
| 718d | Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | BuyYes26¢ | $55 |
| 718d | Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 718d | Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | BuyYes27¢ | $50 |
| 718d | Will the AP call the election on November 9? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 718d | Will the AP call the election on November 8? | BuyYes8¢ | $20 |
| 718d | Will the AP call the election on November 7? | BuyYes16¢ | $20 |
| 718d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes59¢ | $50 |
| 718d | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes20¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.