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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire/Fired | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 100% | +58 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Debate | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Illegal Immigration | 100% | +29 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +79 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lisp | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Couch | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 799d |  Uselink | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 799d | professorx3 fills | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $88,199 | +$105 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d |  aenews2 | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,981 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | Iverson | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $5,423 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 799d | 0xfe91…70ff | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 799d |  ANudeEgg | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,164 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 799d |  MLBksRETARD | Couch | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,207 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | MLBksRETARD | Crypto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,826 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | MLBksRETARD | Lisp | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,909 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d |  Squee | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $20,136 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 799d | Bidensupporter123 | Couch | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | dingus9999999 | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 799d | -JB- | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,311 | +$30 +0.7% | 20 |
| 799d | Iverson | Fire/Fired | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,353 | +$82 +1.5% | 20 |
| 799d |  Apsalar5 fills | Fire/Fired | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,550 | +$604 +2.9% | 20 |
| 799d |  Skip-Earthwax | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 20 |
| 799d | Lfg123 | Fire/Fired | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,078 | −$305 −2.0% | — |
| 799d | anon15654 fills | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $106,512 | +$591 +0.6% | 20 |
| 799d | nuhuh | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 799d | TRUMPMAGA | Crypto | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | −$207 −7.1% | — |
| 799d |  HaterzLoserz | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $50,690 | −$255 −0.5% | — |
| 799d |  MALDEMER | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $3,828 | −$15 −0.4% | — |
| 799d |  xoxoxololxo | Debate | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 799d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,805 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 799d | MLBksRETARD3 fills | Fire/Fired | SellYes>99¢ | $5,977 | −$30 −0.5% | — |
| 799d |  mcduck | Fire/Fired | BuyYes100¢ | $8,897 | +$45 +0.5% | 20 |
| 799d |  ImJustKen | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $133,260 | +$271 +0.2% | 20 |
| 799d | MLBksRETARD | Fire/Fired | BuyYes100¢ | $9,901 | +$50 +0.5% | 20 |
| 799d | TRUMPMAGA | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 799d | anon1565 | Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$25 +2.0% | 20 |
| 799d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,617 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 799d | TRUMPMAGA | Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$79 +2.2% | 20 |
| 799d | TRUMPMAGA | Crypto | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | +$72 +2.4% | 20 |
| 799d | Apsalar | China | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,451 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | Uselink | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,165 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 799d | TRUMPMAGA | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,424 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 799d | Lfg123 | Bitcoin | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | −$152 −11% | — |
| 799d |  AgricultureSecretary | Fire/Fired | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 799d | MLBksRETARD | MAGA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | MALDEMER2 fills | Crypto | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | +$238 +7.9% | 20 |
| 799d | MALDEMER | Fire/Fired | BuyYes100¢ | $1,834 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 799d |  SonOnTheRun | MAGA | SellYes>99¢ | $2,068 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 799d | MALDEMER | Bitcoin | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,303 | +$347 +6.5% | 20 |
| 799d | Lfg123 | Bitcoin | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$137 +9.9% | 20 |
| 799d |  JohannesWalterReich | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 799d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | −$100 −1.0% | — |
| 799d |  BuckMySalls | Bitcoin | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | −$313 −17% | — |
| 799d |  Chen19962 fills | Elon Musk | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,271 | −$521 −12% | — |
| 799d | quackerandqj2 fills | Bitcoin | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,587 | −$2,587 −100% | 27 |
| 799d |  BustedCungly | Fire/Fired | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,958 | −$40 −1.0% | — |
| 799d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,735 | +$108 +1.0% | 20 |
| 799d | 0x89601c127395D185f9B40FB53F53D5cf432d1fd1 | Artificial Intelligence | SellYes100¢ | $1,207 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 799d | Squee | Fire/Fired | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,066 | +$32 +1.1% | 20 |
| 799d | quackerandqj | Crypto | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,316 | −$1,316 −100% | 22 |
| 799d | DukeRick1 | Fire/Fired | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$50 +2.0% | 20 |
| 799d | BustedCungly | Fire/Fired | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,758 | +$240 +6.4% | 20 |
| 799d |  Anon5215 | China | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $9,017 | +$1,948 +22% | 20 |
| 799d | Anon5215 | Tampon | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 799d | SonOnTheRun | MAGA | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$756 +28% | 20 |
| 799d |  FunCoupons | Fire/Fired | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fire/Fired means the market gives it about 100%.