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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Eighth war / Eight wars | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Referendum | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Russia / Ukraine 10+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Putin 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Biden 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Mar-a-Lago | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Biden's war | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Two weeks | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Donbas / Crimea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kiev | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| NATO 3+ times | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tomahawk | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Suit | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Dictator | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Card | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Hell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Venezuela / Boat | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Beautiful | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Tariff | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | NATO 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | yougotme | Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | Composed-Mint | Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $4,172 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 299d |  Debosnys | Donbas / Crimea | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 299d | Psycho0path | Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $2,370 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 299d |  GollumGekko | Referendum | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,028 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | yougotme | Referendum | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,772 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Referendum | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,009 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Putin 3+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,154 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | yougotme | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,456 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d |  Nik- | Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 299d |  Naichli | Two weeks | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 299d |  BipBop | Two weeks | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,429 | +$674 +28% | 20 |
| 299d | Unusual-Overnighter | Eighth war / Eight wars | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 299d | BipBop | Eighth war / Eight wars | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,796 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 299d | BipBop | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$325 +22% | 20 |
| 299d | yolobet | Russia / Ukraine 10+ times | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$26 +2.2% | 20 |
| 299d | uscavi | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,391 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 299d | Urwelcom | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,529 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 299d |  Car | Putin | SellYes>99¢ | $2,676 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | LuckyWin | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,569 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | Car | Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | btacc | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | +$378 +23% | 20 |
| 299d |  PumpThePompey | Putin | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$76 +7.6% | 20 |
| 299d |  uncleroger | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$216 +21% | 20 |
| 299d | Bradleybacchus | Putin | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$180 −17% | — |
| 299d | Bradleybacchus | Putin | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$138 +13% | 20 |
| 299d | Composed-Mint | Putin | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,622 | +$554 +15% | 21 |
| 299d | Nik-2 fills | Putin | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,036 | +$341 +11% | 20 |
| 299d | arinotary | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$288 +14% | 20 |
| 300d | loopierr | Putin | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$173 +16% | 20 |
| 300d | qwerkk | Putin | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | +$882 +22% | 20 |
| 300d | JigglyPuff | Putin | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$307 +24% | 20 |
AllByMyseIf2,749 shares
funding400 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the President of Ukraine (3:00 PM THE PRESIDENT participates in a Bilateral Meeting with the President of Ukraine) see: https://www.forth.news/whpool/CWWT3nvLNbt4ieUzAuLJN. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the President of Ukraine on October 9, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled event on December 28, 2025 scheduled for 3:00PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Putin means the market gives it about 100%.