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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden 5+ | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine 15+ | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest Country | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crimea / Donetsk | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Suit | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Putin 5+ | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pakistan | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ceasefire 3+ | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Marco / Rubio | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hell 3+ times | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Card | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431d |  cruzzzz | Suit | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,878 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d | cruzzzz | Crimea / Donetsk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,558 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | Card | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$420 +14% | 23 |
| 431d | Bertapotamous2 fills | Russia / Ukraine 15+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,437 | +$44 +1.3% | 20 |
| 431d |  duderr | Hottest Country | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d |  pusseh | Rare Earth / Mineral | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,329 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d |  truthteller | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,746 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | pusseh | Marco / Rubio | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,707 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d | pusseh | Biden 5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,217 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d | pusseh | Hell 3+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,670 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d | Bertapotamous2 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,067 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d |  Naichli | Russia / Ukraine 15+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 431d |  Debosnys | Marco / Rubio | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 431d | Debosnys | Crimea / Donetsk | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 431d | johnny2spoons | Biden 5+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$39 +2.2% | 20 |
| 431d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,710 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 431d | pusseh | Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 431d | topsecret17 | Putin 5+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,377 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 431d | Bertapotamous2 fills | Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$262 +9.3% | 20 |
| 431d | truthteller | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 431d | Titubant | Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 20 |
| 431d |  Oompa-Loompa | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 432d |  BuckMySalls | Hell 3+ times | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$255 +15% | 20 |
| 432d | BuckMySalls | Biden 5+ | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$317 +23% | 20 |
| 432d | BuckMySalls | Biden 5+ | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,129 | +$1,129 +100% | — |
| 432d |  TheSwedishWolf | Suit | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$73 +7.1% | 20 |
| 432d |  SnowballHustle | Biden 5+ | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$268 +19% | 20 |
| 432d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Nuclear | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 432d |  manekineko | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$16 +0.8% | 20 |
| 432d | Kapii | Russia / Ukraine 15+ | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$1,495 +144% | 20 |
| 432d | SaylorMoon | NATO | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$131 +12% | 20 |
| 432d | slight- | Marco / Rubio | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 20 |
| 432d | slight- | Biden 5+ | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,422 | −$1,422 −100% | 21 |
| 432d |  UwO2 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,333 | +$136 +1.9% | 20 |
| 432d | BuckMySalls | Biden 5+ | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,708 | −$1,708 −100% | 22 |
| 432d |  MBB3 | NATO | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,577 | +$272 +11% | 20 |
| 432d | Kapii2 fills | Hottest Country | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,446 | +$2,248 +92% | 20 |
| 432d |  betwick2 fills | Suit | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | +$1,440 +56% | 20 |
| 432d | Kapii | Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 20 |
| 432d | SaylorMoon | Putin 5+ | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$466 +35% | 20 |
| 432d | affs20791 | Hell 3+ times | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$284 +26% | 20 |
| 432d | betwick | Crimea / Donetsk | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | +$2,488 +94% | 20 |
| 432d | Kapii | Crimea / Donetsk | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,169 | −$1,169 −100% | 20 |
| 432d | 30kProfitTill2k27 | NATO | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$109 +7.7% | 20 |
| 432d | saijunli | Biden 5+ | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | +$656 +32% | 20 |
| 432d |  Strider-1 | Biden 5+ | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | +$705 +41% | 20 |
| 432d |  ImJustKen | Ceasefire 3+ | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$956 +93% | 20 |
| 432d | ImJustKen | NATO | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$210 +17% | 20 |
| 432d | ImJustKen | Rare Earth / Mineral | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,272 | −$1,272 −100% | 20 |
| 432d | Bertapotamous | NATO | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$252 +19% | 20 |
| 432d | Naichli | Hell 3+ times | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | +$559 +29% | 27 |
| 432d | Naichli | Putin 5+ | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$815 +52% | 30 |
| 432d | Naichli | Biden 5+ | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 30 |
| 432d | Naichli | Suit | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,024 | +$976 +32% | 28 |
| 433d | Cyhduqilai | Biden 5+ | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$437 +43% | 28 |
| 433d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$25 +2.3% | 21 |
| 433d | maybeexpert | Nuclear | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,124 | −$1,124 −100% | 28 |
| 433d | BeneGesseritVoice | Suit | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$443 +43% | 28 |
0xCryptoboy1,100 shares
nick151,025 shares
Merlot614 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in bilateral events with the president of Ukraine on August 18, 2025. (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115037569702889410). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about scheduled bilateral and multilateral events with the Ukrainian president (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Biden 5+ means the market gives it about 0%.