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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf of America | 100% | +8 pts | −54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| N-Word | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Migrant Crime | 0% | −3 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nine Wars / Ninth War | 100% | +83 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Discombobulator | 100% | +56 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bitcoin | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daddy | 0% | −4 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Microcosm | 0% | +6 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oblivion | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Major Non-NATO Ally | 0% | +2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Atomic Energy Commission | 0% | −6 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tango | 100% | +65 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamikaze | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Penguin | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uber | 100% | +53 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Knucklehead / Numskull / Numbskull | 0% | −6 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magnet | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Antifa | 0% | −4 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff King | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nutjob | 0% | −4 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Skedaddle | 0% | +1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Deadlock | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Filibuster | 100% | +45 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Statuary marble | 0% | +2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d |  PredictionYogi | N-Word | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,007 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | PredictionYogi | Major Non-NATO Ally | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | PredictionYogi | Daddy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,395 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | PredictionYogi | Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | chocolate123 | Deadlock | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,365 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | chocolate123 | Kamikaze | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d |  Debosnys | Nine Wars / Ninth War | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 242d | Grandesize | Gulf of America | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $2,260 | −$2,260 −100% | 22 |
| 242d | sejongdaewang | Gulf of America | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $2,753 | +$2,865 +104% | 22 |
| 243d | laylahashish | Microcosm | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$192 −18% | — |
| 243d | laylahashish | Microcosm | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$179 +16% | 21 |
| 252d |  ggmggn | Tango | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Trustinghorse | Tango | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,291 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 252d | Threadbare-Signal2 fills | Discombobulator | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,044 | +$193 +4.8% | 20 |
| 252d |  AgricultureSecretary | Discombobulator | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 254d | LineEditor | N-Word | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$69 +3.8% | 20 |
| 262d | Threadbare-Signal | Uber | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 263d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Magnet | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,958 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 269d |  SupraIsBae | Daddy | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$262 +22% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Gulf of America means the market gives it about 100%.