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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jesus | 0% | −14 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Two week / two-week | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| See what happens | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −4 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out | 0% | −5 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sucker / Loser | 0% | −5 pts | −62 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Make America Great Again | 100% | +36 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No No No | 0% | −8 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Epic Fury | 0% | −8 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| All over the place | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hezbollah | 100% | +55 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Losing MAGA | 0% | −4 pts | −20 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Regarded | 0% | −4 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boy oh boy | 0% | −7 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuke | 0% | −8 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Four to Six | 0% | −19 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gay for Palestine | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AOC | 0% | −3 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass | 100% | +45 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Christmas | 0% | −5 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Central Casting | 0% | −15 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gulf of America | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut | 0% | −3 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | Awkward-Bride2 fills | No No No | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,027 | +$61 +1.5% | 20 |
| 187d | Awkward-Bride | Sucker / Loser | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$30 +1.0% | 20 |
| 187d | Awkward-Bride | Jesus | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 187d | Awkward-Bride | Four to Six | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 187d | Awkward-Bride | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | +$39 +1.3% | 20 |
| 190d | BrightStars | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 190d | govalorant | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,007 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 190d |  DREAMBIG. | Melania | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,047 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 190d | L.X | Melania | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 190d | DREAMBIG. | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 190d | L.X | Hezbollah | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Six Seven | BuyYes100¢ | $1,240 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 191d |  smellyEllie | Six Seven | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d |  CosmicCedar | Six Seven | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 191d |  OraculumNobius | Two week / two-week | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,133 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d | Trustinghorse | Two week / two-week | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,740 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d | smellyEllie | Two week / two-week | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$21 +1.2% | 20 |
| 191d | Trustinghorse4 fills | Sleepy Joe | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,409 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,600 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d |  Relaccsed | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d |  NeoSay10 | Transgender | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d | ddolsw123r | See what happens | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 191d | L.X | See what happens | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,499 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 192d |  AgricultureSecretary | See what happens | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$18 +1.2% | 20 |
| 194d | andreagaleazzi | Losing MAGA | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$272 +22% | 21 |
| 194d | RichardSanchez9540 | Losing MAGA | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$264 +22% | 21 |
| 195d | BenjaminBlack9043 | TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$154 +15% | 21 |
| 195d | 78759 | Boy oh boy | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$414 +41% | 22 |
| 195d | ohial | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$507 +41% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sleepy Joe means the market gives it about 100%.