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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −6 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prediction Market | 100% | +42 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pearl Harbor | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| America First | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Who Are You | 100% | +50 pts | — | 89¢ · 100¢ (11¢) | — | ended |
| Mental Institution / Mental Institute | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +43 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| No No No | 0% | −46 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Through The Roof | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ballroom | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Assassin / Assassination | 0% | −29 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God | 100% | +29 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Alaska | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Weather / Rain | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Uber | 0% | −44 pts | −45 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d | yougotme | Barack Hussein Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
Dondigidin105 shares
queenshaniqua5 shares
bjprolo5 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Transgender means the market gives it about 100%.