| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,800 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $2,296 | −$50 −2.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,700 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $1,351 | +$102 +8.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,200 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $1,050 | +$59 +6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,050 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $835 | −$38 −4.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 1,100 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $787 | +$50 +6.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 900 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $764 | +$25 +3.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 900 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $693 | −$44 −6.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $665 | +$35 +5.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 800 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $660 | +$39 +6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 700 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $640 | +$30 +4.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 900 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $622 | +$9 +1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 900 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $607 | +$43 +7.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 750 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $563 | −$11 −1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,605 | 59¢ → 34¢ | $545 | −$408 −43% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 650 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $523 | −$21 −3.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 500 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $462 | +$40 +9.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$17 +3.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 700 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $455 | +$38 +9.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$62 +16% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$77 +21% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 500 | 57¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$147 +52% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $410 | +$72 +21% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 550 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $410 | +$24 +6.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 495 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $398 | +$20 +5.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 600 | 53¢ → 66¢ | $393 | +$77 +24% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 483 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $384 | +$22 +6.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 450 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $371 | +$113 +44% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 400 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $370 | +$58 +19% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 76¢ → 62¢ | $369 | −$85 −19% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $367 | +$18 +5.3% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 450 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $351 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 500 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $348 | +$49 +16% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $342 | −$8 −2.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 392 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $339 | +$14 +4.3% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $338 | −$9 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $337 | +$22 +7.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 380 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $329 | +$11 +3.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 356 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $327 | +$7 +2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 350 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $324 | +$5 +1.6% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 350 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $303 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 426 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $281 | +$21 +8.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $278 | +$64 +30% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $278 | +$14 +5.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$67 +32% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 290 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $263 | +$22 +9.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $261 | −$6 −2.2% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $258 | +$24 +10% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$23 +9.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$44 +21% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 252 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $239 | +$45 +23% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $237 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $235 | −$9 −3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 250 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $231 | +$7 +3.0% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $229 | +$10 +4.3% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 350 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $228 | +$49 +27% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 431 | 47¢ → 53¢ | $226 | +$24 +12% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 300 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $223 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $221 | +$8 +3.5% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 252 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $217 | −$6 −2.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $214 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $211 | −$22 −9.5% |
| Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 250 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $210 | +$43 +26% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$23 +14% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$18 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$23 +13% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 300 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $191 | +$15 +8.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$27 +17% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $189 | +$13 +7.3% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 250 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $189 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$33 +22% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 350 | 44¢ → 53¢ | $184 | +$30 +20% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $181 | −$5 −2.7% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $180 | +$30 +20% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 220 | 90¢ → 79¢ | $173 | −$25 −13% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 223 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $169 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$12 +7.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 61¢ → 42¢ | $166 | −$78 −32% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 253 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $165 | +$18 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 220 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $164 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $163 | −$5 −3.0% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $162 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $162 | −$4 −2.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$5 +3.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $153 | +$10 +7.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 58¢ → >99¢ | $150 | +$62 +71% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$15 +11% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $142 | −$18 −11% |
| Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $141 | −$7 −4.7% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 200 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $141 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 69¢ | $138 | −$26 −16% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $137 | +$5 +4.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$19 +16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$19 +16% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $131 | +$21 +19% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 200 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $127 | +$9 +7.8% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 147 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $127 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $124 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $123 | −$1 −0.8% |
