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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | −28 pts | −81 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Happy New Year | 100% | +84 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Palestine / Palestinian | 0% | −14 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ass / Shit | 100% | +95 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2026 | 0% | −25 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hezbollah / Lebanon | 100% | +30 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Stock market | 0% | −16 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party | 100% | +82 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fed / Too Late | 100% | +40 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Christmas | 0% | −16 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Transgender | 0% | −9 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peace in the Middle East | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Military | 100% | −11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Board of Peace | 0% | −18 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bibi | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eighth war / Eight wars | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292d | titan5 | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellNo>99¢ | $1,436 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 292d |  ZhangMuZhi- | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,511 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 292d |  PredictionYogi | Stock market | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,429 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 292d | PredictionYogi | Christmas | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,901 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d | yougotme | Happy New Year | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$21 +1.6% | 20 |
| 293d |  CosmicCedar2 fills | Happy New Year | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,462 | +$101 +2.9% | 20 |
| 293d | Each-BenchNew account | Happy New Year | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$29 +2.2% | 21 |
| 293d | Smallfalcons2000 | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$446 −30% | — |
| 293d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Happy New Year | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,315 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 293d | BOSULFG | Happy New Year | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 293d |  dontrektmeplease | Happy New Year | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$409 +39% | 20 |
| 293d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,610 | +$1,610 +100% | — |
| 293d | Smallfalcons2000 | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$433 +29% | 20 |
| 293d |  ScottyNooo | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,238 | −$1,238 −100% | 30 |
| 293d |  Bertapotamous2 fills | MAGA / Make America Great Again | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $7,412 | +$4,447 +60% | 30 |
| 293d |  Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | MAGA / Make America Great Again | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $3,071 | +$3,071 +100% | — |
| 293d | CosmicCedar | Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 296d | ZhangMuZhi- | Military | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | CosmicCedar | Hezbollah / Lebanon | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | CosmicCedar | Fed / Too Late | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d |  AgricultureSecretary | Eighth war / Eight wars | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | ZhangMuZhi- | Peace in the Middle East | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,518 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 298d | ZhangMuZhi- | Hell | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
nt023,003 shares
funding2,000 sharesCosmicCedar796 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 29, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and January 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for MAGA / Make America Great Again means the market gives it about 0%.