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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muscle / Muscular | 50% | — | — | 6¢ · 93¢ (87¢) | $188 | in 9d |
| No No No | 74% | — | — | 50¢ · 97¢ (47¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Athlete / Athletic | 72% | — | — | 50¢ · 94¢ (44¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Pirate | 71% | — | — | 50¢ · 92¢ (42¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Moon | 71% | — | — | 50¢ · 91¢ (41¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Trump Ocean / Trump Strait | 72% | — | — | 52¢ · 92¢ (40¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 27% | — | — | 4¢ · 50¢ (46¢) | $50 | in 9d |
| Good Looking | 73% | — | — | 52¢ · 94¢ (42¢) | — | in 9d |
| Happy Halloween | 72% | — | — | 50¢ · 94¢ (44¢) | — | in 9d |
| Easter | 30% | — | — | 10¢ · 50¢ (40¢) | — | in 9d |
| Gays For Palestine | 26% | — | — | 2¢ · 50¢ (48¢) | — | in 9d |
| Death To America | 30% | — | — | 10¢ · 50¢ (40¢) | — | in 9d |
| Radical Left Lunatic | 72% | — | — | 50¢ · 94¢ (44¢) | — | in 9d |
| Ranked Choice | 26% | — | — | 2¢ · 50¢ (48¢) | — | in 9d |
| Genius / Elon / Musk | 74% | — | — | 52¢ · 96¢ (44¢) | — | in 9d |
| Ceasefire / Uranium | 74% | — | — | 50¢ · 97¢ (47¢) | — | in 9d |
| Apple | 72% | — | — | 50¢ · 94¢ (44¢) | — | in 9d |
| Six Seven | 28% | — | — | 5¢ · 50¢ (45¢) | — | in 9d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Muscle / Muscular means the market gives it about 50%.