Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoke | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| King | 100% | +19 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Migrant Criminal | 0% | −2 pts | −63 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Elon / Musk | 0% | −4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monopoly | 0% | −12 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Milk | 0% | +10 pts | −23 pts | — · 30¢ | — | ended |
| Cook / Cooked | 0% | −4 pts | −17 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Scottish Blood | 0% | −11 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Constitution | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wall | 100% | +25 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ballroom | 100% | +30 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Golf / Golfing / Golfer | 100% | +26 pts | +30 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 11,888 | 100% | +28 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maduro | 100% | +37 pts | — | 96¢ · 100¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Space Force | 100% | +30 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Secret Service | 100% | +50 pts | +24 pts | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Smoke means the market gives it about 100%.