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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7 or earlier | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aug 8-18 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aug 19-22 (During convention) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After Aug 22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808d |  redbloodzcell | After Aug 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,722 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 808d | redbloodzcell | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,613 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 808d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente5 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,252 | +$405 +2.2% | 20 |
| 808d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Aug 8-18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 808d |  ImJustKen | Aug 8-18 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 809d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | After Aug 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,116 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 809d |  VibesGreaterRules | Aug 7 or earlier | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,866 | −$193 −1.5% | — |
| 810d |  50Whence5 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,591 | +$399 +3.2% | 20 |
| 810d |  Car | Aug 7 or earlier | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$24 −1.5% | — |
| 811d |  spacebike2 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,914 | −$86 −1.5% | — |
| 811d | sabato112 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,065 | +$42 +1.4% | 20 |
| 812d | ImJustKen2 fills | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,888 | +$87 +0.8% | 20 |
| 812d | ImJustKen | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 20 |
| 812d |  TheAugur3 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,722 | +$156 +2.0% | 20 |
| 812d | aleph-13 fills | Aug 8-18 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,506 | +$57 +0.9% | 20 |
| 812d | aleph-13 fills | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,491 | +$72 +1.1% | 20 |
| 812d | aleph-13 fills | After Aug 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,550 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 813d | hideo2 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,855 | +$342 +2.9% | 20 |
| 813d |  qrpenc4 fills | Aug 8-18 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,692 | +$114 +2.0% | 20 |
| 813d | qrpenc5 fills | After Aug 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,797 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 813d | qrpenc4 fills | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,684 | +$122 +2.2% | 20 |
| 813d | 50Whence | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$43 +2.1% | 20 |
| 815d | copy4259 | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,699 | +$301 +6.4% | 20 |
| 815d | bubbawatson | Aug 7 or earlier | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | −$136 −7.8% | — |
| 815d | bubbawatson | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,810 | +$85 +4.7% | 20 |
| 815d | spacebike | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,532 | +$177 +7.0% | 20 |
| 815d | VibesGreaterRules4 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $13,789 | +$1,444 +10% | 20 |
| 816d | JishWa3 fills | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,886 | +$380 +4.8% | 20 |
| 818d | 50Whence | After Aug 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 821d | VibesGreaterRules | Aug 19-22 (During convention) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$86 +7.3% | 20 |
| 822d | Treadmilled | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$156 +14% | 20 |
| 823d |  just.some.guy | Aug 7 or earlier | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$1,754 +168% | 20 |
This is a market on when the Democratic nominee for the presidential election will be selected.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Aug 7 or earlier means the market gives it about 100%.