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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 4 | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · 4¢ | — | ended |
| October 14 | 100% | +87 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 11 | 0% | −3 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 28 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 7 | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 100% | +54 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 38d |
| August 21 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  Michael-The-Taxiarch | October 14 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$56 +2.7% | 20 |
| 14d |  Car | October 14 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$35 +2.9% | 20 |
| 17d |  SickandTired | October 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 50d |  wienerdog | September 30 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$865 +67% | 20 |
| 56d |  PredictionYogi | August 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 57d |  3648393489047 | September 4 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$241 +9.9% | 20 |
| 58d |  bernardbulletin | August 28 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,869 | +$313 +8.1% | 21 |
| 59d | Evwo-Jaza | August 28 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$171 +15% | 22 |
| 59d | balabalababalabala | September 4 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,510 | −$1,510 −100% | 22 |
superSlow1,345 shares
Dr.PNL600 shares
0xMahes525 shares
WarriorPooh477 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Karoline Leavitt between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 4 means the market gives it about 0%.