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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August or earlier | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| September | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| October | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| November | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| December | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| January 2025 or later | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 884d | professorx | January 2025 or later | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,795 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 892d |  VibesGreaterRules | December | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | −$485 −20% | — |
| 897d |  50Whence | November | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$1,021 +90% | 10 |
| 899d | Anon5566 | November | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 10 |
| 902d |  redbloodzcell | October | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$468 +35% | 10 |
| 902d | redbloodzcell2 fills | September | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,947 | +$203 +6.9% | 10 |
| 902d | redbloodzcell | August or earlier | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 10 |
| 904d |  ImJustKen | September | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$160 +7.8% | 10 |
| 904d | ImJustKen | October | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$768 +47% | 10 |
asd
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for August or earlier means the market gives it about 100%.