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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 80% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | $1.81K | in 69d |
| No meeting by December 31 | 16% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 15¢ · 17¢ (2¢) | $432 | in 69d |
| United States | 2% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $352 | in 69d |
| Other | 1% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 69d |
| Gulf country | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Russia | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Turkey | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Belarus | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Finland | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Switzerland | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Other EU country | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| South Korea | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Japan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Australia | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Ukraine | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | nedsta2 fills | China | BuyYes72¢ → 80¢ | $3,446 | +$347 +10% | 39 |
| 9d |  Analista. | China | SellYes75¢ → 80¢ | $1,129 | −$63 −5.6% | — |
| 11d | jklsjdwoqejasdf | China | BuyYes77¢ → 80¢ | $1,097 | +$36 +3.2% | 35 |
| 17d | Analista. | China | BuyYes76¢ → 80¢ | $1,138 | +$54 +4.8% | 36 |
| 20d |  0xrc | China | BuyYes77¢ → 80¢ | $1,336 | +$44 +3.3% | 35 |
| 22d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | China | BuyYes69¢ → 80¢ | $2,354 | +$343 +15% | 40 |
| 24d | .brain. | China | SellYes67¢ → 80¢ | $1,752 | −$321 −18% | — |
| 28d |  GollumGekko | China | BuyYes69¢ → 80¢ | $1,368 | +$216 +16% | 40 |
| 29d | fpjsqj | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 84¢ | $3,000 | +$405 +14% | 37 |
| 29d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | United States | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,420 | +$135 +9.5% | 27 |
| 30d | coffeb3 fills | No meeting by December 31 | SellYes21¢ → 16¢ | $6,099 | +$1,452 +24% | — |
| 31d | eathtu | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 84¢ | $7,172 | +$861 +12% | 37 |
| 31d | hiyan | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 84¢ | $8,917 | +$1,070 +12% | 37 |
| 31d | milkm | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 84¢ | $2,518 | +$302 +12% | 37 |
| 31d | feichuan | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 84¢ | $5,692 | +$683 +12% | 37 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg | Belarus | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,284 | −$1 −0.0% | 20 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Gulf country | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $4,217 | −$26 −0.6% | 20 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 84¢ | $1,839 | +$163 +8.9% | 35 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Russia | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,198 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Turkey | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,209 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 31d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Switzerland | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,211 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 31d |  mewmew1 | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo76¢ → 84¢ | $1,125 | +$118 +11% | 36 |
| 31d | kakdelaa | China | BuyYes71¢ → 80¢ | $2,000 | +$226 +11% | 39 |
| 32d |  President-Putin | China | SellYes65¢ → 80¢ | $1,444 | −$322 −22% | — |
| 40d | fivexi | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $6,975 | −$2,039 −29% | — |
| 40d | flowert | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $2,831 | −$828 −29% | — |
| 40d | teacheer | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $6,737 | −$1,969 −29% | — |
| 40d | sunnyg | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $5,740 | −$1,678 −29% | — |
| 43d | teacheer | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 84¢ | $7,152 | +$1,555 +22% | 40 |
| 43d | sunnyg | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 84¢ | $6,093 | +$1,325 +22% | 40 |
| 43d | fivexi | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 84¢ | $7,404 | +$1,610 +22% | 40 |
| 43d | starbr | No meeting by December 31 | BuyYes31¢ → 16¢ | $1,350 | −$653 −48% | 41 |
| 44d | vidac2 fills | No meeting by December 31 | SellYes34¢ → 16¢ | $3,162 | +$1,674 +53% | — |
| 44d | pepei | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $3,504 | −$1,024 −29% | — |
| 44d | lumie | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 84¢ | $3,250 | +$950 +29% | 40 |
| 44d | vidac | No meeting by December 31 | BuyYes35¢ → 16¢ | $2,975 | −$1,615 −54% | 43 |
| 44d | sunwuk | No meeting by December 31 | BuyYes35¢ → 16¢ | $2,310 | −$1,254 −54% | 42 |
| 44d | yinhe-542 | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo65¢ → 84¢ | $3,575 | −$1,045 −29% | — |
| 44d | shazeng | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 84¢ | $3,510 | +$1,026 +29% | 40 |
| 45d | biscle | No meeting by December 31 | SellYes35¢ → 16¢ | $2,590 | +$1,406 +54% | — |
| 45d | yinhe-542 | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 84¢ | $3,630 | +$990 +27% | 40 |
| 45d | bailma2 fills | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 84¢ | $3,300 | +$900 +27% | 40 |
| 45d | huangsh | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 84¢ | $3,618 | +$918 +25% | 40 |
| 50d | 0x1664…c71c | Other EU country | SellNo>99¢ | $1,039 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 50d | 0x1664…c71c | Other EU country | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | −$1 −0.1% | 20 |
| 51d |  BigMackyG | China | BuyNo51¢ → 20¢ | $1,903 | −$1,135 −60% | 40 |
| 51d | .brain. | China | BuyYes55¢ → 80¢ | $1,032 | +$472 +46% | 40 |
| 57d | Fulgurator | No meeting by December 31 | SellNo50¢ → 84¢ | $1,151 | −$799 −69% | — |
| 62d | Niseko | China | SellNo57¢ → 20¢ | $1,422 | +$909 +64% | — |
| 67d | Gladius72 fills | No meeting by December 31 | BuyYes63¢ → 16¢ | $2,701 | −$2,017 −75% | 40 |
| 73d | Bigggggggg | Finland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,623 | −$0 −0.0% | 20 |
| 73d | Bigggggggg | Other EU country | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,622 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 73d |  Ratspootin | China | BuyYes32¢ → 80¢ | $1,060 | +$1,590 +150% | 40 |
| 73d | Bigggggggg | Other | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,618 | −$12 −0.7% | 20 |
| 73d | Bigggggggg | United States | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,608 | −$8 −0.5% | 21 |
| 78d |  Belgaron | China | BuyNo83¢ → 20¢ | $1,079 | −$813 −75% | 31 |
| 82d | Gabrielfg | Japan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | $0 0.0% | 20 |
| 82d | WUBVWBOIBVWG | No meeting by December 31 | BuyYes75¢ → 16¢ | $2,980 | −$2,345 −79% | 37 |
| 90d | Niseko | China | BuyNo86¢ → 20¢ | $1,373 | −$1,045 −76% | 29 |
| 107d | Fulgurator | No meeting by December 31 | BuyNo32¢ → 84¢ | $1,022 | +$1,645 +161% | 40 |
Ratspootin4,999 shares
Robbb4,028 sharesGollumGekko3,508 sharesPresident-Putin3,233 sharesBigMackyG5,200 sharesBelgaron2,925 sharesThis market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 80¢ for China means the market gives it about 80%.