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Polymarket wallet 0x204dbfec1d276bdb64fe0694b7e2804185ff2d52 · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2024 · also shown as Traumatic-Windchime

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $28.7
All-time profit: +$48.5
Volume traded: $108K
All-time rank: #310,859
Markets traded: 17
Recent hit rate: 38%6 of last 16 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $28.7

Market	Holding		Paid → now
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	30	84¢ → 96¢	$29	+$4 +14%

Latest trades

last 37

When	Market	Bet	Size
37d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	SellYes56¢	$1,232
37d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	SellYes56¢	$1,904
37d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	SellYes56¢	$112
39d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes55¢	$220
39d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes55¢	$2,970
39d	Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SellYes86¢	$3,182
40d	Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BuyYes86¢	$3,182
40d	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	SellNo71¢	$2,485
40d	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	SellNo71¢	$639
43d	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	BuyNo70¢	$3,080
43d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	SellYes62¢	$3,100
44d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	BuyYes69¢	$3,450
44d	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SellNo65¢	$3,510
45d	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BuyNo67¢	$3,618
46d	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	SellNo74¢	$149
46d	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	SellNo75¢	$3,427
47d	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo75¢	$3,590
50d	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	SellNo75¢	$3,600
51d	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	BuyNo70¢	$3,360
51d	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	SellNo77¢	$3,196
52d	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	BuyNo77¢	$3,196
123d	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	SellNo84¢	$1
123d	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	SellNo85¢	$25
130d	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	BuyNo84¢	$50
212d	AI bubble burst in 2026?	SellNo77¢	$7,411
213d	AI bubble burst in 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$7,469
290d	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?	SellYes88¢	$2,482
291d	Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?	BuyYes81¢	$2,284
291d	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SellNo76¢	$2,271
292d	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BuyNo76¢	$2,283
375d	Hurricanes vs. Sharks	BuySharks31¢	$16
590d	Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?	BuyYes52¢	$50
684d	Bengals vs. Cowboys	BuyBengals70¢	$52
684d	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	SellYes97¢	$56
684d	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	BuyYes97¢	$56
684d	Doug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?	SellYes94¢	$56
684d	Doug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?	BuyYes95¢	$57

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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