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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +13 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed>99¢ | $10,080 | +$20 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 410d | d008 | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed99¢ → 100¢ | $20,653 | −$152 −0.7% | — |
| 410d | secondSeek | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed>99¢ | $3,351 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed>99¢ | $3,690 | −$7 −0.2% | — | |
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed>99¢ | $2,744 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed>99¢ | $1,166 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed90¢ → 100¢ | $12,075 | +$1,414 +12% | 12 | |
| 410d | Qtyu2 fills | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed98¢ → 100¢ | $7,958 | +$162 +2.0% | 10 |
| 410d | affs207913 fills | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed93¢ → 100¢ | $16,359 | +$1,202 +7.3% | 10 |
| 410d | Po45 | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed96¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$82 +4.2% | 10 |
| 410d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed88¢ → 100¢ | $7,678 | +$1,094 +14% | 10 | |
| 411d | cimurro | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed87¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$152 −15% | — |
| 411d | hindu2 fills | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed87¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | +$334 +14% | 10 |
| 411d | maybeexpert | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed89¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$134 −12% | — |
| 411d | secondSeek | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$360 +12% | 10 |
| 411d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed89¢ → 100¢ | $3,247 | +$401 +12% | 14 | |
| 411d | maybeexpert | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed87¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$259 +15% | 14 |
| 411d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed85¢ → 100¢ | $3,340 | +$589 +18% | 14 | |
| 412d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed86¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$164 +16% | 14 | |
| 412d | d0085 fills | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed87¢ → 100¢ | $9,418 | +$1,388 +15% | 12 |
| 412d | vol888 | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyBlue13¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 16 |
| 413d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed89¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | −$325 −12% | — | |
| 413d | nonkenny902 fills | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed89¢ → 100¢ | $3,294 | +$388 +12% | 12 |
| 413d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed83¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | −$307 −20% | — | |
| 413d | cocococococo | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed85¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$186 +18% | 13 |
| 414d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed84¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$336 +19% | 13 | |
| 414d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | SellRed82¢ → 100¢ | $2,754 | −$604 −22% | — | |
| 414d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed83¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$307 +20% | 13 | |
| 415d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed78¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$479 +29% | 11 | |
| 427d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed58¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$2,100 +72% | 10 | |
| 427d | Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | BuyRed57¢ → 100¢ | $2,853 | +$2,147 +75% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Red" if the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF). This market will resolve to "Blue" if the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG). If both blocs win an equal number of seats, or if the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50." This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.