Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Zetas | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sinaloa Cartel | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gulf Cartel | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| MS-13 | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tren de Aragua | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CJNG | 100% | +6 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611d |  Slowroasted | MS-13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,264 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 611d | Slowroasted | Los Zetas | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,285 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 611d | Slowroasted | Tren de Aragua | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,007 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 611d |  scottilicious | Sinaloa Cartel | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,213 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 611d |  iamhungry | Sinaloa Cartel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,714 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 611d |  TheKinginYellow | Sinaloa Cartel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 612d |  syncope | Sinaloa Cartel | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$32 +2.6% | 4 |
| 612d | Isaak👴2 fills | Los Zetas | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,588 | +$498 +7.6% | 4 |
| 612d | syncope | CJNG | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$144 +12% | 4 |
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Los Zetas means the market gives it about 100%.