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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 74d |
| Germany | 4% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 74d |
| New Zealand | 9% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 74d |
| Belgium | 11% | −2 pts | +4 pts | 7¢ · 14¢ (7¢) | — | in 74d |
| The Netherlands | 8% | — | −2 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 74d |
| Japan | 4% | — | −4 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 74d |
| Finland | 8% | — | +1 pts | 5¢ · 10¢ (5¢) | — | in 74d |
| Italy | 9% | +2 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 13¢ (8¢) | — | in 74d |
| United States | 7% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 74d |
| Israel | 4% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 74d |
| Greece | 3% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $107 | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d |  Billionzz | United States | SellNo90¢ → 93¢ | $1,196 | −$52 −4.3% | — |
| 267d | greenfia3 fills | New Zealand | BuyNo69¢ → 91¢ | $3,511 | +$1,094 +31% | 4 |
| 267d | rickyspa | New Zealand | BuyNo72¢ → 91¢ | $1,115 | +$294 +26% | 4 |
| 291d | Billionzz | United States | BuyNo96¢ → 93¢ | $2,000 | −$52 −2.6% | 4 |
| 292d |  SPIT | Austria | BuyYes93¢ → 4¢ | $5,498 | −$5,259 −96% | 4 |
| 292d | SPIT | Austria | SellNo7¢ → 96¢ | $5,498 | −$69,868 −1271% | — |
| 292d | SPIT | Austria | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $73,049 | +$2,317 +3.2% | 4 |
amazingfrog28 sharesThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Austria means the market gives it about 4%.