Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left Party (V) | 22% | — | −4 pts | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Moderate Party (M) | 18% | — | −2 pts | 17¢ · 18¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Christian Democrats (KD) | 12% | — | −6 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Citizens' Coalition (MED) | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | 77% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 77¢ · 78¢ (1¢) | $475 | ended |
| Liberals (L) | 13% | −3 pts | −4 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | $340 | ended |
| Sweden Democrats (SD) | 5% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $233 | ended |
| Centre Party (C) | 55% | −3 pts | +16 pts | 50¢ · 60¢ (10¢) | $215 | ended |
| Green Party (MP) | 68% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 66¢ · 69¢ (3¢) | $202 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | StoffeH | Sweden Democrats (SD) | BuyNo95¢ | $1,000 | −$3 −0.3% | 7 |
| 14d | Tattered-Ephyra2 fills | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | SellYes84¢ → 77¢ | $3,905 | +$310 +7.9% | — |
| 25d | infinitevanilla | Left Party (V) | BuyNo84¢ → 79¢ | $1,100 | −$68 −6.2% | 4 |
| 32d | Knark | Left Party (V) | BuyNo88¢ → 79¢ | $1,592 | −$165 −10% | 4 |
| 33d | Tattered-Ephyra | Sweden Democrats (SD) | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,034 | +$18 +1.7% | — |
| 34d | Tattered-Ephyra | Moderate Party (M) | SellNo90¢ → 83¢ | $1,066 | +$90 +8.4% | — |
| 37d | Dreamwire | Citizens' Coalition (MED) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,846 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 40d |  Eire | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | BuyYes87¢ → 77¢ | $1,044 | −$118 −11% | 13 |
vinii1,323 shares
macrosteaks462 shares
DistMistFist200 shares
Roro22679 shares
Relaccsed250 sharesParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for Left Party (V) means the market gives it about 22%.