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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan) | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Komeito | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JIP (Japan Innovation Party) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JCP (Japan Communist Party) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DPP (Democratic Party For the People) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reiwa Shinsengumi | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mintsuku | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SDP (Social Democratic Party) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DIY (Sanseitō) | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459d |  WhiteLivesMatter | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,230 | +$51 +0.2% | 10 |
| 459d |  1800stopgambling | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,258 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 459d |  Rasalgethi2 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,140 | +$223 +7.1% | 10 |
| 459d |  archaic | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,924 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 459d | mirand2 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,518 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 460d | DDW | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 460d | nonkenny90 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 460d | cnfiguridofjnfke3 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,482 | +$117 +0.3% | 10 |
| 460d | KIKIKI | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,293 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 460d |  enderone | DIY (Sanseitō) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 461d |  AlmostAndy | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes>99¢ | $5,085 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 461d | Bukaj0889 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,996 | +$66 +2.2% | 10 |
| 461d |  BenjarninNetanyahu2 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | −$72 −3.0% | — |
| 461d | cigarettes | CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,884 | +$116 +3.0% | 10 |
| 461d | natural89 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$66 +6.6% | 10 |
| 461d |  beigesun | CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan) | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$289 +15% | 10 |
| 461d |  JuliusNakamoto | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$205 +15% | 10 |
| 461d | Rasalgethi | CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan) | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,853 | +$952 +20% | 10 |
| 461d | WangHuningismydad | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,439 | +$1,067 +20% | 10 |
| 461d | Cloudy-Naming | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | −$528 −23% | — |
| 461d | wubddh | DIY (Sanseitō) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,284 | +$8 +0.4% | 10 |
| 462d | AZwater | DPP (Democratic Party For the People) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,055 | +$18 +0.2% | 10 |
| 462d | coco040678 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$204 +13% | 10 |
| 462d | AZwater | DIY (Sanseitō) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,591 | +$42 +0.9% | 10 |
| 462d |  Cookedtan2 fills | DIY (Sanseitō) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,341 | +$41 +0.6% | 10 |
| 462d | cigarettes2 fills | DIY (Sanseitō) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,759 | +$21 +0.8% | 10 |
| 462d | cigarettes2 fills | DPP (Democratic Party For the People) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,770 | +$10 +0.3% | 10 |
| 462d | RubiksCube2 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $10,823 | −$1,177 −11% | — |
| 462d | BenjarninNetanyahu | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$114 +11% | 10 |
| 463d |  MechaHitlah | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$116 +10% | 10 |
| 463d |  kk147 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | −$356 −15% | — |
| 464d | jinsanity | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,210 | −$457 −21% | — |
| 464d | kk147 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,614 | +$606 +13% | 10 |
| 464d | warlasfutpro6 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,548 | +$1,089 +13% | 10 |
| 464d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | DIY (Sanseitō) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,341 | +$20 +0.9% | 10 |
| 465d | wubddh | DPP (Democratic Party For the People) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$8 +0.7% | 10 |
| 465d |  CoffeeLover | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$158 −14% | — |
| 468d |  ezyoracle | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,426 | −$827 −13% | — |
| 468d | nonkenny90 | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 10 |
| 470d |  RepublicOfChina2 fills | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | −$362 −12% | — |
| 472d | Vain-MisplacementNew account | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$279 +16% | 10 |
| 476d | Cookedtan | Komeito | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,180 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 476d | Cookedtan | DPP (Democratic Party For the People) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,177 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 476d | Cookedtan | CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan) | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$154 +15% | 10 |
| 476d |  BrightTiger | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$191 +16% | 10 |
| 478d | beigesun | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$156 +14% | 10 |
| 484d | CoffeeLover2 fills | JCP (Japan Communist Party) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 484d | CoffeeLover | SDP (Social Democratic Party) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 484d | CoffeeLover | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$85 +7.1% | 10 |
| 485d |  YuXuan | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$120 +11% | 10 |
| 486d | RepublicOfChina | LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,624 | +$572 +12% | 10 |
BabyYoda1210,000 shares
megatons1,459 sharesThe 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Japan's government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) means the market gives it about 100%.