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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | 100% | +4 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conservative Party | 0% | −1 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bloc Québécois | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Democratic Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| People's Party | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,331 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 542d | Flipadelphia3 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,031 | +$29 +0.1% | 10 |
| 542d |  BICTORY | Liberal Party | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | −$24 −1.2% | — |
| 542d | BICTORY | Liberal Party | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$21 +1.2% | 10 |
| 542d | Main123 | Conservative Party | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 543d | kaj43 | Conservative Party | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,430 | +$570 +3.1% | 10 |
| 543d | wokerjoesleeper | Conservative Party | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,876 | +$124 +3.2% | 10 |
| 543d | kaj43 | Liberal Party | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $23,163 | +$726 +3.1% | 10 |
| 543d |  mona-sax | Liberal Party | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,072 | +$423 +20% | 10 |
| 543d | AJM962 fills | Liberal Party | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $4,580 | +$14,229 +311% | 17 |
| 543d | kosmitic | Conservative Party | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $7,903 | −$7,903 −100% | 10 |
| 543d | sasha82 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,801 | −$2,801 −100% | 10 |
| 543d |  SVPPB | Liberal Party | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,494 | +$1,494 +100% | — |
| 543d | badpolling | Liberal Party | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$6,685 +469% | 12 |
| 543d | AJM96 | Liberal Party | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,889 | +$1,889 +100% | — |
| 543d | lava-lava2 fills | Liberal Party | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $3,077 | +$3,077 +100% | — |
| 543d | kosmitic | Conservative Party | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$1,355 +89% | 10 |
| 543d | Pokymarket | Liberal Party | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$1,538 +89% | 10 |
| 543d | lava-lava | Liberal Party | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | −$2,424 −100% | 10 |
| 544d | booboo2 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,514 | −$3,514 −100% | 12 |
| 544d | wolfmoon | Conservative Party | SellNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$1,241 −120% | — |
| 544d |  Cajetan | Liberal Party | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,878 | −$2,878 −100% | 19 |
| 544d | sasha82 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $6,042 | −$6,042 −100% | 14 |
| 544d | cigarettes2 fills | Liberal Party | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,509 | −$3,509 −100% | 12 |
| 544d | COMEONDUDE | Conservative Party | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,305 | −$2,305 −100% | 19 |
| 546d | wolfmoon | Conservative Party | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$1,193 +65% | 15 |
| 546d | BigTendies | Conservative Party | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$777 +72% | 15 |
| 551d |  dududududu3 fills | Conservative Party | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $6,906 | −$6,906 −100% | 15 |
| 551d | bramwell | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,627 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 551d | GuthrieTesoro | Green Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,542 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 551d | GuthrieTesoro | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,544 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 551d | 033033033 | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,858 | +$42 +0.1% | 10 |
| 551d | bramwell | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,628 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 552d | InsiderrrZ | Liberal Party | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | −$1,345 −82% | — |
| 553d | hensley | Bloc Québécois | SellNo>99¢ | $1,607 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 553d | hensley | Bloc Québécois | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,608 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 553d | merril | Green Party | SellNo>99¢ | $2,076 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 553d | merril | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,078 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 553d | AJM96 | Liberal Party | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,576 | −$2,576 −100% | 12 |
| 553d | ulster | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,976 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 553d | ulster | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 554d | kaelton | People's Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,527 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 554d | fintan | Green Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,467 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 554d | kaelton | People's Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,528 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 554d | fintan | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 555d | AlvaroVibes | Green Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,866 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 555d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | New Democratic Party | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 555d | AlvaroVibes | Green Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,868 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 556d | Ivalis | Liberal Party | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $9,949 | +$9,949 +100% | — |
| 556d | Herysian | Liberal Party | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $14,674 | +$10,198 +69% | 10 |
| 556d | dududududu2 fills | Conservative Party | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $3,715 | +$3,715 +100% | — |
| 557d |  Wloczega | Liberal Party | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$887 −80% | — |
| 558d | cigarettes3 fills | New Democratic Party | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,055 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 559d | cigarettes | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 559d |  gopfan2 | Conservative Party | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,666 | −$1,666 −100% | 12 |
| 560d | Melody626 | Liberal Party | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | +$1,392 +49% | 10 |
| 563d | InsiderrrZ | Liberal Party | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | +$934 +60% | 10 |
| 566d |  Justifax | Liberal Party | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$760 −61% | — |
| 567d | Justifax | Liberal Party | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$661 +61% | 10 |
| 572d | Zarvantis | Conservative Party | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $34,404 | +$34,404 +100% | — |
BabyYoda1222,104 sharesThe 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the most seats in the House of Commons in British Columbia as a result of the next Canadian general election. If voting in the next Canadian general election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won in British Columbia, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Party means the market gives it about 100%.