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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPÖ | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ÖVP | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SPÖ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| GRÜNE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NEOS | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 755d | Doodooltala | FPÖ | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$49 −4.2% | — |
| 755d |  occasionalAwareness | SPÖ | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,300 | +$33 +0.1% | 10 |
| 755d |  Car | SPÖ | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 755d |  LongLiveJoeBiden | NEOS | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,351 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 755d | LongLiveJoeBiden | GRÜNE | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,515 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 755d | mark2-031 | FPÖ | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$756 +55% | 18 |
| 755d | UsernameCannotHaveSpaces | FPÖ | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$879 +59% | 18 |
| 755d |  Coram_Deo | SPÖ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,887 | +$90 +1.0% | 10 |
| 755d |  TimeQuestion | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,385 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 757d | Ten-566 | SPÖ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 10 |
| 758d |  PaeniscusKyu | NEOS | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 761d | bentos | SPÖ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$69 +1.9% | 10 |
This is a market on the outcome of the Austrian legislative election and which party will win the most seats.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for FPÖ means the market gives it about 100%.