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Polymarket wallet 0xc9792b403a2be8c8c2f37b62f00cff3ee5c944ab · on Polymarket since Sep 28, 2024 · also shown as Conventional-Mechanic
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,767 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 870 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SellYes99¢ | $3,191 |
| 200d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BuyYes3¢ | $111 |
| 268d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes52¢ | $108 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 719d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes60¢ | $2,206 |
| 719d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes59¢ | $1,000 |
| 719d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes59¢ | $1,000 |
| 719d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes59¢ | $1,000 |
| 720d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes58¢ | $1,080 |
| 738d | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes25¢ | $100 |
| 755d | Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election? | SellYes96¢ | $1,180 |
| 755d | Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election? | BuyYes65¢ | $266 |
| 755d | Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election? | BuyYes65¢ | $533 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.