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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 100% | +94 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mitch McConnell | 0% | −94 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nancy Pelosi | 100% | +59 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chuck Schumer | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| John Fetterman | 0% | −85 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilhan Omar | 0% | −13 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 597d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Mitch McConnell | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,670 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 598d | 11429y7etb | Bernie Sanders | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 598d |  BlackSky123 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,457 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 598d |  Slowroasted2 fills | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,949 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 598d | BlackSky123 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,450 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 598d |  syncope | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$16 +1.5% | 4 |
| 598d | 🐥🥚🐣 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 598d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 4 |
| 599d | Ericm4cm | Bernie Sanders | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,247 | −$1,247 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is seen applauding at any point during Donald Trump’s 2025 address to Congress, scheduled for March 4, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The listed individual must be visibly clapping their hands together on the C-SPAN video feed to qualify. Other gestures, such as nodding, standing without clapping, or tapping hands on a surface, will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only applause from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes will qualify. Applause directly before or after will NOT qualify. If the 2025 address to Congress address does not occur by March 5, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the C-SPAN video feed listed here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6zaAzNXc50
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez means the market gives it about 0%.