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Polymarket wallet 0xa7d164e5a746c91170129bff677b74a9be5c8749 · on Polymarket since Nov 20, 2024 · also shown as Ancient-Standpoint

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $4.84K
All-time profit: −$34.1
Volume traded: $223K
All-time rank: #2,306,129
Markets traded: 403
Recent hit rate: 78%39 of last 50 closed

Open positions

68 markets · $4.84K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	No	4,722	50¢ → 83¢	$3,926	+$1,565 +66%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	4,722	50¢ → 17¢	$796	−$1,565 −66%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d	Yes	366	22¢ → 25¢	$91	+$11 +14%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	30	93¢ → 98¢	$29	+$1 +5.2%
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. CerqueiraSettled - ready to redeem	Cerqueira	10	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will the Conservative Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Is there less than 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,005	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem	No	55	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	France	10	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Nara & Lucky divorce in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	43	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Chiefs vs. BroncosSettled - ready to redeem	Chiefs	5	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	120	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem	No	155	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	54	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$71 −100%
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,234	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsSettled - ready to redeem	Chicago Cubs	8	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Trump cut military spending?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	400	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$68 −100%
Blues vs. Blue JacketsSettled - ready to redeem	Blues	50	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Predators vs. FlamesSettled - ready to redeem	Flames	150	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$81 −100%
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Dolphins vs. JetsSettled - ready to redeem	Dolphins	25	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	55	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	333	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the Liberal Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	12	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Settled - ready to redeem	No	5	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Capitals vs. SabresSettled - ready to redeem	Capitals	55	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	119	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	12	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	298	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$197 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,234	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	656	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
No Data Reported in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	57	64¢ → 0¢	$0	−$36 −100%
Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,005	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Seahawks vs. RamsSettled - ready to redeem	Rams	10	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	200	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$148 −100%
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?Settled - ready to redeem	No	22	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	600	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$63 −100%
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	34	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	150	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,234	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem	No	72	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$56 −100%
@nubcat unsuspended from X by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	79	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Is there between 146000000 and 140000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,005	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will DOGE audit the Federal Reserve before May?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	9	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,234	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem	No	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Gavin Andresen as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,234	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$48 −100%
Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,005	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
6d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	SellYes34¢	$16
6d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes21¢	$1
6d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?	BuyYes22¢	$93
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes24¢	$12
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$3
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$1
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$1
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$26
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$3
55d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	SellYes42¢	$217
56d	Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$208
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyUp2¢	$2
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	SellDown70¢	$23
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$4
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$4
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$2
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$3
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$4
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BuyDown61¢	$8
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$25
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$4
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$12
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$5
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$50
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$27
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$49
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$5
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$5
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$10
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SellDown98¢	$12
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BuyDown95¢	$5
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BuyDown95¢	$77
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BuyDown95¢	$53
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BuyDown95¢	$45
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BuyDown88¢	$23
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	BuyDown93¢	$5
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$12
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$7
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$14
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp96¢	$18
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp96¢	$1
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp96¢	$20
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp96¢	$10
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyUp91¢	$46
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	SellUp98¢	$53
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp90¢	$44
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyUp88¢	$5
81d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$11
81d	Lexington: Felix Gill vs Borna Gojo AND Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner	Buy8¢	$7
81d	Lexington: Completed Match: Andres Andrade vs Andre Ilagan AND Andres Andrade vs. Andre Ilagan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 AND Lexington: Andres Andrade vs Andre Ilagan	Buy8¢	$143
84d	New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs AND Team Falcons to win 2-0?	Buy89¢	$10
84d	New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs	BuyChicago Cubs12¢	$1
84d	The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets AND Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-31?	Buy75¢	$726

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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